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If you look at the faces of the GOP senators, it will be a de facto triple blue administration … REUTERS / Hannah McKay
Currently, the results of the US presidential elections and the Senate and Senate elections are almost complete.
In the case of the United States, it is customary to try to reduce the votes of the other party by saying that there was “voting-related injustice” in response to the result of the opening of the vote, so I have nothing to say that President Trump make such a claim. I don’t remember the surprise.
A series of lawsuits is likely to be a waste of time and effort, but this is also a cost of democracy and must be done until the court is over. However, even if the content of the lawsuit includes some reasonable ones, it is unlikely to affect the outcome of the entire election campaign.
There are many analyzes that “turn into a twisted parliament”, but it is not strictly correct
The author’s interest is already in the prospects for American politics after the inauguration of the Byden administration. Of course, it goes without saying that the staffing work of the management transition team will begin in earnest, and detailed scrutiny of staff will be required to analyze the priority of management policies.
However, even today, it is possible to analyze and predict future political developments from the composition of the president and the federal parliament.
My job is to provide managers of financial institutions with an analysis of American politics. Therefore, given the situation of various data, it has been suggested that this year’s presidential elections may be the “birth of the triple blue administration” since the end of last year. This triple blue was coined by the author and is now widely used mainly in the financial world. Simply put, it is a scenario in which the President, the majority of the Senate, and the majority of the House of Representatives become Democrats.
Currently, the media insist that the president is made up of the Biden Democratic Party and the Federal House of Representatives and the Senate Republican Party, and in many cases he analyzes that it will be a “twisted parliament.” However, this is a strictly incorrect analysis.
First, the Senate could have the same number as the Democratic and Republican parties at 50:50. As of November 7, the North Carolina Senate elections have a Republican-dominated vote, but the state dictates that the number of votes still unopened and the postal arrival vote nine days after the date of the vote they are valid. Assuming, it is possible that Mr. Cunningham of the Democratic Party will take over the seat of the Senate. At this point, the number of seats in the Democratic Party will be 49. Also, if the Democratic candidate wins as a result of the special election on the Senate seat in Georgia, which was extended on January 5 of next year, the scenario of 50:50 mentioned above is quite likely. is there. This case means that the Democratic Party has effectively won the majority, since the Vice President will vote in the Senate if the votes are equal.
The second is the “existence of newly appointed Republicans” among Republican senators. A “Republican to know” is a member who votes according to the claim of the Democratic Party when it comes to a politically important phase. This time, Republican Senator Susan Collins survived in Maine, but she is a compelling “namely Republican” and is often a Democrat with Supreme Court approval, Obamacare review and votes on environmental issues. It is a person who has taken such voting action. And, although not as much as Collins, there are several Republicans in the Senate, like Senator Lisa Mulkawaski. Therefore, even if the Republican Party has 51 seats, it is highly likely that the Republican Party will break the majority in case of an emergency.
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