Regarding the US presidential election, many US opinion polls have reported Byden’s superiority and Trump’s inferiority until shortly before, but when the vote began, it turned into an exceptionally close battle. . Democrat Hillary Clinton has been dominated, and while she actually won by number of votes, she is becoming similar to the previous 16-year presidential election, which she lost to Trump by number of voters won. Trump’s voting power overrides even public opinion polls. Patrick Harlan, also known as Pakkun, points out the “calorie difference” of his followers.

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Patrick Harlan (49), a talent from the United States, said in an earlier reflection that a polling company had improved the accuracy of the poll, but this time he could not keep up with the hidden Trump. I am sure that this year’s reflection meeting will be longer.

It is an election in which the difference in temperature between Trump supporters and Byden supporters is well understood. Trump supporters are hot. I’m excited. You may be infected with corona, but you can go side by side, take a break from work, no matter how far away the polling place is. I think Byden is a very nice person, but I have never met anyone who really wants to vote for Byden. I think that the difference in charisma and the difference between active supporters and passive supporters appear as a difference of several points.

Even if Byden takes the strong Republican of Arizona in the remaining fierce battle states, I think there is only a 10% chance that Byden will win. Byden loses to Trump in his hometown of Scrington, Pennsylvania. Just as Gore, who lost in Tennessee in the 2000 presidential election, did not win in the end, it is not good that he loses locally.

In the second television debate, Byden referred to the transformation of the oil industry. I think the transition to clean energy is natural for a presidential candidate, but this time he gave Trump a counterattack, saying, “It’s a tough statement. It will kill the oil industry.” It was a statement that changed the flow of Pennsylvania, which must absolutely be taken. If I don’t say it, I think it will be a remaining word later.

◆ Pakkun Patrick Harlan. Born in Colorado, United States in 1970. Graduated from Harvard University. While acting as “Pakkun McKun”, he has appeared in various media as an observer of the US presidential elections. His books include “The President’s Speech.”