Zone Italia Covid: Lombardy runs the risk of orange. Here are the assumptions of January 7



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Milan, January 2, 2021 – Today and tomorrow is still a red train for vacations. Then Monday, January 4 there will be a day of orange break before last mini lock of the holidays (January 5-6), marked by the Covid-19 emergency. But What will happen from January 7 in Lombardy? What rules will be in effect? Before the Christmas decree, Lombardy had laboriously landed in December 19 in the yellow zone. But it is not certain that the region as of January 7 will be in the same range, that of moderate risk, expected by Dpcm which distinguished Italy in colored areas. The executive’s forecasts (and hopes) were that Italy would restart from where it left off before “hiccup block” for vacations: the whole country in the yellow zone with the exception of Abruzzo. However, it was the government that threw the handbrake RT data and positivity rate, they have activated a new alarm bell. At the national level, in fact, the contagion rate is growing while the ratio of cases per swab has reached 14.1%.




Here is the calendar of red and orange days from today until Epiphany

Red or orange zone: the calendar

Zone Italia Covid: here are the hypotheses

The Therefore, the map of the zones could change, with new straits. Worrying numbers especially for Veneto, Liguria and Calabria: with the Rt above 1 they risk don’t leave the red zone (which ends with Epiphany). And the Lombardy? What could happen in the region most affected by the pandemic? Lombardy (along with Puglia and Basilicata) could end in the orange zone. In Lombardy, the Rt index rose to 1 and the positivity rate reached 11.9%: a figure lower than the national average but still significant. The government’s decision on the location of the region is expected next week, based on the new monitoring of the National Institute of Health.

Meanwhile, the first bulletin of the new year registered 22,211 new cases and 462 victims in the last 24 hours. People currently positive for Covid in Italy increased for the second day in a row (574,767), the number of intensive care units employed stable. In Lombardy yesterday he registered a slight decrease in the number of positives and deaths. About the region’s Covid newsletter, yesterday the new cases were 3,056 in 25,467 swabs performed, with a ratio of 11.9%. In flexion the number of deaths: in 24 hours 80 dead. Improvement of the situation in hospitals: admissions fell by 85 units, bringing the total to 3,352 (yesterday it was 3,437). Also those in the intensive care units: the balance is two fewer patients compared to December 31, for a total of 487 hospitalized people. In the last hours, the president of the Higher Institute of Health, Silvio Brusaferro, asked for caution, explaining that “a really solid assessment of the trend during this holiday will only be available in mid-January”. For the president of the Higher Health Council, Franco Locatelli, “Faced with figures that still deserve an effort, we give the strong message that what has been put in place is bearing fruit”.




The graph of the latest ISS monitoring for Lombardy

Monitoring for problems: here are the highest risk areasISS monitoring in Lombardy

Lon the date of the new meeting of the Regional Monitoring control room has yet to be revealed. the report of December 30 indicates several critical issues: in particular, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Valle d’Aosta, Piedmont, the autonomous province of Trento and Emilia Romagna are 50% more likely to exceed the critical occupancy threshold for beds in the medical area in 30 days , while for Lombardy, Trento and Veneto the same happens with intensive care. To these data is added the case of Sardinia, which has a risk rating of ‘not assessable’ and therefore ‘high’, due to insufficient data provided.

The request to change the parameters.

In the last hours Regions through a document they made a request for one modification of evaluation parameters: the ISS could, therefore, formalize some changes that could affect the 21 indicators to establish the allocation of regions in the different bands. Among them, a different method of calculation of antigenic and molecular buffers performed, which could affect the positivity rate.




The reopening of the ski lifts

The government will soon have to decide on the reopening of the ski lifts, in honor of the president of the Conference of Regions, Stefano bonaccini, sent a letter to Ministers Francesco Boccia and Giuseppe Speranza requesting the postponement of the season opening from January 7 to 18. The concern is competition at the European level: the reopening of ski lifts in countries like Austria could pave the way for a ‘flight’ of ski instructors and lift technicians, who have been detained in Italy since March.

Reopening of the ski facilities, the Regions ask to postpone until January 18

School and smart work

As for the school, the reopening of the school is scheduled for January 7 throughout Italy. 50% of maximum allowed admissions – at least until January 15 – after the work carried out by the different prefectures in the school-transport coordination tables. The appeal to smart work in most companies and in particular in state offices, after the extension foreseen until January 31 on measures for agile work in the public administration.




The other news about Covid:

When the red zone ends

Covid: school restarts irregularly. Bad infections, Italy will not be all yellow

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