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The Rt index goes back to the past: between November 25 and December 8, the average Rt transmissibility index calculated in symptomatic cases was equal to 0.86, compared to 0.82 in the follow-up last week. In sixteen autonomous regions or provinces there are specific Rt values lower than 1. This is revealed by the draft of the weekly monitoring Iss– Ministry of Health according to which “three regions (Lazio, Liguria and Veneto) are classified as high risk”.
“Only five autonomous regions or provinces have a ‘low’ risk of an uncontrolled and unmanageable epidemic. During the follow-up week – the draft is read – a ‘moderate’ risk is still observed in most regions and autonomous provinces. “High”. This trend requires rigor in the adoption and compliance of measures, avoiding a relaxation in behavior. The incidence in Italy is still too high and the impact of the epidemic remains strong in most of the country. This situation does not allow a relaxation of the measures adopted in recent weeks and even requires their strengthening in some areas of the country.
But three other regions and a province are going yellow and all of Italy is most likely in the area with the least restrictions on Sunday, except Abruzzo, which still has a few orange days ahead and should change color on Wednesday. The meeting of the control room, scheduled for today, will sanction the continuation of the downward trend of the epidemic. All Regions, except Veneto, which has decided to take action on its own, have improved in recent days. For this reason, Tuscany, Campania, Val d’Aosta and the province of Bolzano must end in the ordinance of the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, which moves them precisely to the yellow zone.
CTS Summit, the experts: “Tighten the measures, the yellow zone is not enough”
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They will only stay in that condition for one day from the point of view of the trip, because as of Monday 21 the departures from the Regions will be blocked. Then, as of Christmas Eve, the prescriptions provided for by the Government law will begin that should be approved today.
According to the ISS draft, “it is complex to predict the impact that the Christmas season could have, however the greater mobility and interpersonal interaction typical of sociability this season could determine a significant increase in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. The situation described, this would lead to a consequent rapid increase in cases to levels potentially higher than that observed in November in a context in which the impact of the epidemic on health workers, services and the population is still very high.
Meanwhile, “the total number of people admitted to intensive care decreased from 3,345 on December 8 to 3,003 on 15. The number of people admitted to medical areas also decreased from 30,081 to 27,342” in the same days.
