“With the crisis we go to the vote: it will be Conte against Salvini”



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“So if the crisis opens, it would be better if we go to vote. Count against Salvini and we play it”: Dario Franceschini and Francesco Verderami speak at the Corriere della Sera explains that this, and not the government in the hands of Mario Draghi, could be the final solution of the government verification that was opened in recent days after the autaut of Italia Viva. An unexpected turn that would take Matteo Renzi to the corner and yet presupposes that the Democratic Party will stand in the elections as an ally of the 5 Star Movement. However, no one has yet said yes to this hypothesis.

“With the crisis we go to the vote: it will be Conte against Salvini”

The Minister of Culture, Corriere explains, does not believe that the elections are the most likely hypothesis: according to him, Renzi is aiming for a legislative government to elect the President of the Republic with this parliament. And the best counter tactic at this point is precisely that of targeting the polls with this electoral system, the Rosatellum which, in majority and proportionally, marries a candidate for President of the Council (or, with the Prime Minister’s indication in case of victory of the Giallorossi) who would push for the maximum polarization between the two forces on the field: the center-left with the 5-star movement in Conte’s name on the one hand and the center-right led by the League with Salvini as leader of the coalition in the other.

On the other hand, it is more difficult to imagine how the puzzle of the Giallorossi alliance can be put together and how they can compete with the center-right. “Instead I think we could play it”, is Franceschini’s response, according to whom Conte – if the polls are true – “still has a certain control over public opinion, would present himself as the victim of a palace plot and could win votes in the center, without taking them to the Pd and M5S. Therefore, it is convenient to take advantage of their added value, because it could win.

But even a defeat in the polls, in his opinion, would not upset the balance for the post-Colle career: “Numerically it would be a balanced challenge with the center-right, I mean? And then Conte was born with a shirt … ».

The notice comes while Prime Minister Conte, after having institutionalized the moment of crisis that his government is experiencing with a phone call to the head of State Mattarella, has begun a check with the parties that make up the majority. The fronts of confrontation within the majority are different, from the measures for the sanitary emergency to the management of the 209 billion of the Recovery Fund. The ruling parties also accuse the prime minister of decision-making and lack of collegiality.

Self-certification and overnight stay: the lagoons for lunch, Christmas dinner and New Year’s Eve

Renzi’s ministers ready to resign

Therefore, as Ettore Rosato threatened yesterday, the Italian ministers Viva Teresa Bellanova and Elena Bonetti are ready to resign. And the latter reaffirms his intentions today in an interview with Corriere: “Teresa Bellanova and I are ready to take a step back. But I am confident: I do not believe that the president is going to force his hand by blowing up the Budget law.” which contains many important reforms such as the single and universal allowance for children or measures for women’s work “.

On the other side of the fence are Pd and M5S. Which also according to Repubblica could go hand in hand with the 2021 vote. Or rather, this would be the preferred hypothesis of Nicola Zingaretti, who would not want to repeat the error of 2019: “This time, the second Count on the scales, is question of subtracting his party from the effects of a crisis that is in fact already open.The big difference with 2019 could be, according to Zingaretti, the after: a year and a half ago the Democratic Party would have had to face the elections alone, and it was one of the reasons why they abandoned the option to vote, this time I could do it together with the M5S ”, wrote Stefano Cappellini.

But all these hypotheses, sooner or later will collide with a reality that does not fit at all: in the first place it seems difficult, if not impossible, to organize an electoral campaign and a vote during the coronavirus pandemic and while there is some development and Put in The vaccination plan indicated by all as a priority of the country is underway. Second, the grillini cannot go carefree to elections with the Democrats even under Conte’s banner and for good reason: they would risk disappearing. Or even a split, with the various Di Battista willing to lead a tough and pure movement that challenges the “governing” M5S in their own field of which Di Maio is the (very) tarnished image with the members. But the other hypotheses that would keep the legislature in place could also harm the Movement. First, the support for a technical government with Berlusconi, Salvini and the cool Renzi himself, a veteran of the trip to Conte. So here it is that the polls could really be the favorite plan B for all the players in the field. Whereas plan A is to close the check and make amends with Renzi. But at what cost?

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