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Weather: WINTER 2020/2021, SNOW news or CALM FLAT with HIGH PRESSURE? Here are the LONG-TERM FORECASTS
WINTER 2020/2021 snow and frost also in Italy or is it still a failure?There is still a long time to go, but thanks to official screenings in the long run European Center, we can start to get an idea, roughly, of the time that will wait for us in the next winter: novelty in the snow or flat calm with high pressure?
Let’s find out right away by analyzing the first projection Long Term Models Magazine.
To be able to chart a trend for the next winter season we must rely on the so-called seasonal forecasts, issued by European Center based on various atmospheric indices: essentially an attempt to predict, well in advance, the weather trend outlined in vast areal scales.
In the coming months the climatology of the old continent could be influenced by the phenomenon of Girl, with possible repercussions also in the cold season.
From the study of official maps it is clear that among December and january he temperature it will turn out beyond reference climatic averages up to + 1 ° C.
In summary, at a general level, the beginning ofWinter you shouldn’t see too cold values. From this point of view Therefore, the trend of recent years could be confirmed, when we only record rare frost waves and isolated episodes of snow at low altitudes.
Of course, this does not exclude the possibility that they are brief, but intense, polar break, with masses of icy air ready to wreak havoc first in north-central Europe, then also in the Mediterranean (thus also about part of our country).
Regarding the subject of rain, a constant negative pressure anomaly in the upper Atlantic sector could favor the formation of frequent disturbances, able to invest first in Western Europe and then also our country. For this reason rains (of the Nevada, temperatures permitting), could result in media the higher still in much of Italy.
And finally, in the next few weeks the famous ones will begin to form Polar vortex, a great semi-stationary depression over the North Pole, and with its movements it is capable of unbalancing the luck of the winter season. We will keep you posted on this with future developments.
Therefore, we will see how the winter season will behave. Certainly in the last years, was often disappointing for lovers of cold and snow, with very few opportunities compared to the past and far from respect to the reference climatic averages.
Temperatures above average up to + 1 ° C in most of Italy (source: ECMWF)
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