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The short answer is that there is no single source that provides the data clearly and openly. And it is linked to the call, for those who are convinced of the importance of having this information, to request it by signing the petition #datiBeneComune, also promoted by Infodata. The feature, on the other hand, questions the uncertainties in the numbers from which to calculate the saturation rate of the intensive care units of Italian hospitals.
Which, being a percentage, is calculated by multiplying by 100 the number of beds occupied by Sars-CoV-2 positive patients and dividing the result by the total of those present in intensive care. Having said, by the way, unnecessarily, that 100 is a known value, the other two remain to be determined. And here the problems begin.
Meanwhile, the number of hospitalized patients. The reader will imagine that there should be no uncertainty about this. A person positive for the new coronavirus is or is not in IT. Third, Latinos said, there is no third possibility. Just take the numbers that he Civil protection provides every day to know, with certainty, how many beds occupy those who have hired the COVID-19. Of course, it would be enough for everyone to identify them in the same way.
Yes, because in Calabria they have identified a third way. In the sense that they only include the number of intubated patients in the calculation updated daily by Prociv. On the other hand, those for whom, despite being in intensive care, a helmet is enough to help them with breathing, remain outside. That is, they remain within the IT department, but outside the total count.
However, the most serious problem concerns the total number of beds in Italian intensive care. Latest October 13 the Covid-19 emergency commissioner Domenico Arcuri it had provided a picture of the situation. That’s a list broken down by region of 5,179 rooms present before the start of the pandemic and 1,259 added (from a total forecast of 3,500) thanks to funds from Relaunch Decree.
Now, since then, the regions have pledged to increase the total number of beds available to cope with the increase in infections. Which, in turn, translates into an increase in people needing intensive care. The problem is that there is no single source that communicates them. Infodata He tried to reconstruct the data by crossing different sources, even calculating them from the saturation data communicated at the press conference by Arcuri and the number of hospitalized patients provided by Civil Protection.
The problem is that the number changes daily and keeping it updated is not easy. Or at least, it wasn’t until Agents, the National Agency for Regional Health Services, has not decided to publish a statistical board. That is a page with graphs showing the saturation level of intensive care, regionally. Data that Infodata extracted, using them to make the infographic that opens this piece.
But here too something is wrong. The table obtained when extracting the data indicates the hospitalized patients (given 3) and the total number of beds (dice 4), in addition to the percentage of employment (Y). If however, how did he do it? Infodata, the percentage is recalculated from the absolute data, the result is different from that indicated in the table extracted from the Agenas site.
All this was not enough, there is an additional problem. Knowing how many Covid-19 patients are hospitalized in intensive care and how many total beds available is not enough. It is also necessary to know how many Sars-CoV-2 negative patients are in these rooms. Yes, because there are also people who need these treatments despite not having contracted the new coronavirus. The combination of these three data would allow us to understand how many beds are left free or how far the health system is from collapse. But how Infodata he hopes he has shown that succeeding is an impossible feat.