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About two months from the date of Elections USA 2020 we are beginning to get to the heart of the electoral campaign. Waiting for the traditional televised comparisons you will soon see Donald trump me Joe biden in various face to face, many watch with interest the progress of polls of the two candidates.
According to the average carried out by RealClear Policy, which takes into account the research carried out by the main institutes from August 26 to September 1, Biden is ahead of 7.2 points percentages on Triumph, with the first standing in 49.6% and the second to 42.4%.
Latest 2020 U.S. Election Polls
- Economist / YouGov: Biden 51% – Trump 40%
- EII / TIPP: Biden 49% – Trump 41%
- CNN: Biden 51% – Trump 43%
- Emerson: Biden 49% – Trump 47%
- The Hill / HarrisX: Biden 46% – Trump 40%
- Quinnipiac: Biden 52% – Trump 42%
- USA Today / Suffolk: Biden 50% – Trump 43%
- Rasmussen Reports: Biden 49% – Trump 45%
- Grinnell / Selzer: Biden 49% – Trump 41%
As you can see, the gap between the two is certainly important, but not yet decisive for the race for the White House on November 3. In fact, Trump has already managed to recover some points compared to recent months, which have seen the former vice president remove him by more than 10%.
Voting intentions can also be annulled even on voting day, as the current US president demonstrated in 2016 in the confrontation with Hillary clinton.
Biden leads in key states
The mistake often made when reading these polls is to view American polls as a nationwide race, while in reality it is the votes cast in individual states that determine the bottom line.
Also in 2016, Clinton garnered about 3 million more preferences than Donald Trump, who, however, managed to win the largest number of large voters by winning in the most populous states.
However, with this in mind Joe biden there is more good news. According to a study by Fox News, the Democratic candidate would be in the lead in three Key states for the final victory: Arizona, North Carolina me Wisconsin. In the first, Biden can count on a gap of 9% with the Republican leader, 4% in North Carolina and 8% in Wisconsin.
However, Triumph stands out from 5 points your opponent in Ohio, which on more than one occasion turned out to be decisive in the US elections.
