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Goal number one is well known: avoid a new blockade at all costs. In fact, Italy could not withstand, both economically and socially, a new general lockdown after having spent a good part of this turbulent 2020 indoors.
The second wave of coronavirus However, it seems to have reached us as well, with the new positives that in the last 24 hours were 4,458.22 instead of deaths, which brought Italy back to April levels in terms of contagion.
Numbers in constant growth that for days have been alarming the government, which takes all the time it takes to new DPCM, has until October 15, while the Council of Ministers has just extended the state of emergency and made the use of a mask mandatory even outdoors and in the workplace.
But when will the threshold that will trigger new restrictive measures be exceeded? Theoretically, there is no numerical barrier to new infections in order not to have to go further, but the situation will be fundamental in hospitals where the pressure should not increase with respect to the intensive therapy.
Covid: everything to avoid a new blockade
With the end of the summer season, the reopening of schools and the increase in public transport capacity, the government had planned a increase in coronavirus infections.
The epidemiological curve grows dangerously again in Italy, but it must also be said that so far our country is doing much better than other countries such as France and the United Kingdom where the situation is much more worrying.
But woe to believe that he is not at risk: a bit like some traditional Chinese doctors did, the patient must be followed when he is not sick to prolong his state of “well-being” as long as possible.
So here is the government has been intervening for some time in a preventive way to prevent the situation from worsening: tightening of the masks, a campaign to promote the use of the Immune app and an increase in tampons to quickly identify outbreaks.
The goal is to avoid a new lock, but everything will depend on the pressure of the hospital since, if they do significantly increase intensive care admissions, the government will still be forced to intervene again.
Possible new measures
To understand what could happen you can take as an example province of latina, where due to the presence of different clusters, there has been an early closure of pubs and restaurants, as well as a contraction in the number of people admitted to shops, gyms, dance schools and private parties.
The strategy at the moment is to make gods specific mini-closures in the areas of greatest risk, but if the situation were to precipitate in a generalized way, these measures could be applied throughout Italy.
Unlike the first wave, this second phase of the emergency is hitting the country more homogeneous: at this time, consequently, there are no particular hospital criticalities, also because the new positives are mostly asymptomatic and young.
The problem, however, is that in the summer the government and various regions would not have done their homework for the holidays at their best: the tenders for new intensive care they are still standing and there is a shortage of approx. 3,000 anesthetist resuscitators.
Taking into account the data of the last days, we would now be trying to speed up the times so as not to be caught off guard in the event of a significant increase in hospitalizations: if our the health system was going to hold, then Italy could avoid a new lock hoping that 2021 will be the year of the coronavirus vaccine.