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The transmission rate in Italy is now well above 1.5. This was confirmed today by the weekly report from the control room of the Ministry of Health and the Higher Institute of Health that calculates the transmission rate, the rate of spread of the coronavirus. A week ago we were at 1.5, today that value will oscillate between 1.5 and 1.6 and this means that in fact we are no longer in scenario 3, but in scenario 4, according to the classification of risk levels included in the dossier that regulates the country’s reactions to the spread of contagion. We are at the highest level. Yesterday Liguria banned, on weekends, unnecessary trips from 21 to 6. The emergency commissioner, Domenico Arcuri: «No health system could bear these figures, much less in Italy. ICUs are not a problem at the moment, but I can’t say if they will be enough if we don’t make it down the curve. The Regions could implement the strengthening plan as of May. Now we have the big problem of overcrowding the hospitals with the jam of the emergency rooms.
Covid, the situation of hospitals in Campania and Calabria: alarm for heart patients and cancer
The transmission index of some regions is now at 2, starting with Campania and Lombardy, Valle d’Aosta, Piedmont and Liguria are other regions in trouble. Lazio is less worse, it is at 1.49: around 1.3-1.4 in Rome, also at 1.6 in the province of Viterbo. Yesterday’s data confirmed that not only does the increase in new cases continue but, particularly worryingly, hospitalizations and deaths are very high (217). Yesterday 26,831 new positive cases (16,079 on Wednesday a week earlier). Of course, many swabs were made: 201,452. Arcuri: we want to reach 200 thousand molecular swabs a day, to which will be added 100 thousand rapid antigenic tests, thus 300 thousand people will be examined every day.
Covid, Arcuri: “Serious situation, we are facing the virus but we need stricter limitations, the school does not increase infections”
Hospitals under stress
The pressure on hospitals – which Arcuri said we must alleviate by favoring hyssop and home care – does not stop: another 115 places in intensive care have been occupied by Covid patients (we are at 1,651), while hospitalizations with symptoms are there 15,964. Among the Regions, a sustained increase in new positives in Lombardy (7,339), Campania (3,103) and Piedmont (2,585). Despite the situation, Giuseppe Conte opts for a waiting position, based on the principles of “gradualism and proportionality”. “There is maximum attention and continuous monitoring of the contagion curve, since the comparison with scientists is constant,” they explain at Palazzo Chigi, “but since we have deployed three Dpcm in a short time, last Sunday, we need see the effects of the measures taken before considering new interventions. ”In short, for the premiere, the sums will be drawn only on Sunday, November 8, to launch a possible new hardening on Monday 9. Health Minister Roberto Speranza and Culture Dario Franceschini, exponents of the rigorist wing, on the other hand, have already adopted stricter measures so as not to end up like France. And the Minister of Economy, Roberto Gualtieri, given the probable new repression, has already announced that all the necessary resources will be put in place. alarm threshold: 2,500 patients in intensive care and 35-40 thousand infections.
Covid in Italy today: towards stage 4
The soft lock
The most accredited hypothesis, in this scenario, is that of a soft confinement in the French model: companies, factories and offices open, but all at home, stores closed (except food), you go out only to go to work or to take to the children to primary school or kindergarten, for shopping and for medical reasons. Almost certainly also the stop to travel beyond municipal and regional borders and the iron territorial closures in the cities most affected by the virus. Milan and Naples first. In the Lombard city the closure could begin as early as the weekend, when Mayor Beppe Sala takes stock with Governor Attilio Fontana.
Last updated: 08:08
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