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The United States, more divided than ever and disagreeing on everything from the response to the virus to how to restart the economy, is faithfully reflected in the latest polls. best Joe Biden say the numbers but you will win Donald trump. Possible?
Detections
Undoubtedly, the latest investigation published by Ipsos / Reuters sees the former deputy of Barack Obama six points ahead of the current president of the United States, 45 to 39 percent. While Cbs / YouGov maintains the same gap, but considers Biden to be the favorite from 49 to 43. An excellent result for the favorite Democrat: for the first time he reaches higher margins than those he had Hillary clinton.
Rep
Postponement or vote by mail, the unknown virus also in the 2020 US elections
Trump pays overexposure
But it is known that the surveys are volatile and that everything can change between now and November. Also because, according to some, today’s excellent numbers for Biden could depend on a certain weariness towards Donald Trump: always on television for his daily briefings on the pandemic, to the point that even his advisers now think he is too overexposed. In fact, 53 percent of voters say they can’t take it anymore: only 11 percent would want even more room for the president. Biden, by contrast, is underexposed. 47 percent say they haven’t listened enough, while 24 percent believe the opposite is true.
But beware: the average of other surveys suggests that in 55 percent of cases, right and left, many believe that Trump will finally get a second term. Thanks to an unidentified trump card, an economic solution, or even help from a foreign power, which will in fact allow you to stay in the White House.
The unknowns
On the other hand, the impact of the accusations made against Biden by is still uncertain. Tara Reade, the former aide who says she was sexually assaulted in 1993 by the then-Senator from Delaware. He flatly denied: and if 61 percent of democratic voters were to take his words forever, he would not be persuaded instead that 38 percent of voters, depending on who, even, would need a different candidate.
It will also weigh Biden’s deputy election: 56 percent of voters say it will be “somehow” or “very” important. So far, the most welcome seems to be the Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren: The anti-Wall Street champion prized by 36 percent of Democrats despite his 70s and popular even with blacks. The California senator was much less satisfied Kamala Harris stops at 19. And not even the African American lawyer stands out Stacey Abrams which reaches only 14 percent.
The unknown factor of now also weighs on the potential winner Justin Amash, the libertarian who has just announced that he wants to compete against the two candidates but whose role, in a bipolar system like the United States, will be above all to steal votes in some key states. Yes, but at whose expense?
