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FROM THE MEETING TO NASHVILLE. “Joe Biden put the last nail in his electoral coffin when he said during the debate that he wants to shut down the American oil industry and demolish the system that has led us to national energy independence. This will cost you Texas and Pennsylvania, but it will probably also cost you Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, and especially Minnesota. ”
Trump’s top presidential campaign adviser Jason Miller was not in the act during the conference call with reporters organized yesterday morning along with manager Bill Stepien. They are convinced that the head of the White House has reversed the course of the elections, thanks to the latest challenge with his democratic opponent, and now they see “different paths that lead to 270 votes in the constituency.” In fact, yesterday the president awoke optimism: “There will be a red wave.”
Nashville was certainly different than the Cleveland fight. Muted microphones aside, Trump’s advisers had suggested he let Biden speak, hoping he would make mistakes. He listened to them this time, looking more civilized and better explaining the differences with Joe. As expected, he attacked him over his son Hunter’s affairs in Russia and China, but the Democrat responded by denouncing the impediments of Donald, who has a bank account in Beijing and does not pay taxes. The head of the White House tried to defend his handling of the epidemic, saying that “the country must be reopened, otherwise in the end we will no longer have a country. We are learning to live with Covid. Biden blurted out, ‘What? We are dying with Covid! More than 220,000 Americans have lost their lives and anyone responsible for such a tragedy cannot remain president. ” Then they also divided on health, immigration, racial conflicts, character. Therefore, the conclusive lines of the campaign seem clear: Joe focuses on the virus, which yesterday reached its new peak with more than 70,000 infections, and the crisis; Donald on his ability to jumpstart the economy, now also taking advantage of the opponent’s misstep with fossil energy.
Miller explained the strategy as follows: “Our objectives in the debate were twofold: to remember how Trump is the outsider who helps workers, while Biden is a member of the political quagmire where he has been for 47 years without producing results. Added to this is the oil blunder, which will help us in all key states, because reaching zero emissions by 2025 would cost millions of jobs in the next 5 years ”. Stepien then indicated the aggressive line that will be taken in the final days of the campaign: “The gap in the polls is narrowing everywhere, nationally and in key states, and we believe we have an excellent opportunity to conquer Minnesota, which had Clinton. he won by a single point. Therefore, the map is clear. First, the president must keep Republican states like Florida, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Iowa. Then he must recover at least one of those that were removed in 2016 from the Democratic “blue wall”, namely Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. If he misses, he should make up for it by snatching opponents from Minnesota, New Hampshire or Nevada.
Republicans are focusing on three elements that encourage them: the increase in their registrations in the electoral lists compared to 2016, while the Democrats have decreased because they did not campaign door to door for Covid; the enthusiasm and crowds that attended Trump’s rallies; According to the Gallup poll, 56% of Americans think they are better today than they were four years ago. In the same poll, 39% of those surveyed said that the country is worse off now than it was in 2016, and therefore it is a question of whether they will vote thinking about their personal condition, or that of the United States.
According to Republican pollster Frank Lutz, the president won the debate among the undecided, who “would like a candidate with the character of the policies of Biden and Trump.” The problem is this: “More than 50 million Americans have already voted. Among those who remain undecided there are about 6%, and to reverse the situation the president should win 90%. It’s not easy, but voter turnout is expected to rise from 137 million in 2016 to 160 million. Anything can happen with these numbers. –
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