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A Dpcm before December 3 to save Christmas? “My head is not focused on what will happen in a month and a half, but on what will happen at the end of next week. This is what we all play at, not dinner on December 24, with or without grandparents or relatives. first grade “: Health Minister Roberto Speranza is categorical in the interview he grants today to The impression after the ordinance that as of November 15 declared Campania and Tuscany a red zone and Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia and Marche an orange zone. That said, it is true that the government plans a ministerial decree with the rules for the holidays. But first we need to see the numbers. And Speranza thinks it’s premature to talk about it today.
A new Dpcm with the Christmas rules
And time is running out. The last decree of the president of the council of ministers (Dpcm) will expire on December 3 and by that date the rules should arrive to save Christmas. How? With a gradual relaxation of measures such as curfew and a series of rules and recommendations for the next vacation. The Ansa news agency lists some of them:
- The purchase of Christmas shopping will certainly be contingent as is already happening these days, especially in some large cities and on weekends, even in the moderate risk yellow zones;
- for dinner at home there will be recommendations and prohibitions that are not virtually inapplicable: it is plausible that there can be no more than six at the table, therefore only cohabitants and close relatives;
- The number of diners in the yellow zone restaurants could also be increased to six;
- the movements will be prohibited in the red zones and limited in the oranges, even between regions it will always be allowed to return to residence or domicile, but an exodus from north to south is not expected to be comparable to that of last March;
- the curfew set at 10 p.m. across Italy could be postponed until 11 p.m. or midnight on December 24 and maybe a little longer on New Years Eve.
Will all this be enough? Or is there the risk of favoring a third wave that will then be difficult to face between January and February 2021? Il Mattino confirms today that among the hypotheses in the field near Palazzo Chigi is the idea of postponing the curfew for a few hours and even canceling it on public holidays. But it also foresees the arrival of two measures: one that regulates closings and reopens until around Christmas, and that is capable of raising their heads a little to the businesses that have had to close or reduce their activity and a later one capable of allowing the families celebrate Christmas although with more recommendations than prohibitions. Therefore, purchases will be allowed from December 4, not only in the yellow areas, but the hours will be limited by age groups. In restaurants it will continue to be the obligation to have no more than six at the table, which will nevertheless become a recommendation for private parties. Along with the suggestion to grant dinner only to first-degree relatives.
When will the coronavirus epidemic end? The smile of numbers
The decisive week for the epidemic
What starts today is therefore a decisive week for the coronavirus epidemic in Italy after the numbers of days have shown a slowdown in growth that, however, has not yet been confirmed. There is some element of optimism, even if infections remain high, intensive care remains under increasing pressure, victims increase. The Civil Protection bulletin yesterday reported 33,979 new cases and 546 deaths while 3,422 are hospitalized in intensive care. “But if we look at the figures, we realize that the new cases of coronavirus registered last weekend are the same as those of this last Saturday and Sunday,” Speranza responds today, pointing out the first signs of stabilization of the curve: “The next seven to ten days will be decisive and will tell us if the division of the country into three zones and the substantially automatic mechanism of region-by-region restrictions is bearing the fruits that we all hope.”
According to the minister, the number of intensive care units also reveals a stabilization: “We have good reasons to believe that we have reached the so-called” plateau “, which then equates to an Rt index equal to 1. That is, for each new person infected that enters the intensive one another. Our hope is that in the next week, thanks to the latest ordinances on the expansion of the red zone, the index may fall below 1. At that time the patients who leave will be more that enter, and the system is again perfectly sustainable. ” And the first day of vaccination will arrive between the third and fourth week of January, Speranza continues.
To do this, adds the minister, currently there is no use thinking about the possibility of celebrating Christmas with loved ones according to the forms and degree of kinship: what is going to happen in forty days is too far away, you have to focus on the week that is coming: how the contagion curve will have gone, the intensive care, the Rt index, the other medical areas outside of Covid next Monday. This is what we all play at, not dinner on December 24, with or without grandparents or first-degree relatives. ”So, meanwhile, Abruzzo is about to become a red zone and Basilicata has decided to close all schools: because being tough today can lead to being free tomorrow.
And it is the numbers, or rather some of them, that say it. If intensive care has stabilized, the number of hospitalizations has grown again yesterday while the death curve, La Stampa also says, will reach a peak only around December 10. The latest report from the Gimbe Foundation says that eleven regions have exceeded the threshold for hospitalized patients: among them Piedmont, Lombardy and the province of Bolzano. But Campania has also exceeded the limit of beds for the most serious patients, while Puglia and Sardinia are one step away.
Meanwhile, German Chancellor Angela Merkel will also meet today in videoconference with the Laender prime ministers to assess the effectiveness of the limited lockdown, in force in Germany from November 2 to 30, in order to contain the spread of the coronavirus. For the daily “Handelsblatt”, the tightening of restrictions against contagion could be decided during the talks. In fact, in the preparatory draft of the videoconference, we read that contacts in public places will be limited only to members of a single residential unit. A maximum of two people who share another home can be added. Private parties should be “completely avoided at least until Christmas.” In addition to existing restrictions, the federal government proposes stricter restrictions on contacts and quarantine. Children and youth should be encouraged to only meet a friend in their spare time.
