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Municipalities close to the outbreaks must be closed. Fears related to the spread of Covid-19 caused by variants of the virus cause the red areas to enlarge. While waiting for the follow-up data that would bring most regions into the orange band, more restrictive measures are taken. Only on Friday will the Government meet to plan new measures and make decisions before the expiration of the Dpcm set for March 5. But the scientists highlight the need to follow a line of maximum rigor to avoid a third wave that could be, as it is clear from the latest reports, even more aggressive than the second. The mutations are scary: the English, but especially the South African and Brazilian, now present in many parts of Italy. And that is why we look with apprehension at the daily bulletin that yesterday also registered 12,074 new infected and 369 victims. We await the data of the Regions, the indication of the RT that triggers the change of band. And the health of hospital structures is controlled so as not to exceed the critical threshold of 30% of places occupied in intensive care.
The variants
Records of the Ministry of Health an 18% incidence of the English variant, is believed to be the most transmissible, but believes that this percentage could increase. And it highlights how the number of patients is increasing due to the South African variant, especially in the Bolzano area, and the Brazilian variant, which is found in Umbria and Tuscany. We must stop the advance, otherwise there is a danger that in two or three weeks these mutations could be prevalent against the virus against which we have been fighting for a year, they warn.
Enclosed municipalities
Places in the red zone are increasing, after Pescara and Ancona other cities are at risk of being closed. The indication for mayors and governors, in fact, is to send in closure not only the centers where the incidence of variants is greater, but also the neighbors just to try to stop their spread. The regime should be similar to the one adopted throughout Italy last March: schools and shops closed – except for groceries, pharmacies, kiosks and tobacconists – citizens are allowed to go out only for reasons of necessity and urgency. Exceptional measures to avoid having to close the entire country. this is the possibility we are trying to avoid.
Intensive therapy
At the meeting that Prime Minister Mario Draghi will convene over the weekend, the Ministers of Health Roberto Speranza and of Regional Affairs Mariastella Gelmini will examine the situation by analyzing the data from the weekly monitoring, therefore also the health of the health establishments. They will focus on intensive care, a key indicator of the progress of the pandemic. The hypothesis of making changes to the color band division system will be evaluated to update the transmitted data, but also to calculate the incidence of infections per 100 thousand inhabitants. So far the governors have opposed this change, but they do not rule out that it could be proposed again precisely to keep the situation under control.
Italy in orange
Today the Regions will send the data to the control room and tomorrow the ordinances that trigger the orange band will be signed. Lazio, Emilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Marche and Piedmont are very high risk and could be added to Basilicata, Liguria, Molise, Umbria and the province of Trento. Instead, Abruzzo could end up in the red band again. Lombardy in the balance, but it still hopes to remain yellow. Happy Island appears the Val d’Aosta which keeps the RT low enough to wait for even the white band.
The Dpcm
More than two weeks remain when the Dpcm expires, so it is premature to assume what measures will be taken. It will be up to the government to decide on the possible reopening of those sectors – gyms, swimming pools, cinemas, theaters but also bars and restaurants at night – which have been closed for months, but in the current situation it seems like a real restart. far from obvious.
February 18, 2021 (change February 18, 2021 | 09:34)
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