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Italy released Silvia Romano thanks to decisive help from Turkey. At what price Of course, a life has a non-monetizable value. In theory And in the fables of Tg1. At the international level, even when you are spertic in declarations of loving solidarity, everything falls within a logic of relationships of force, of giving and of having. And in this operation, Turkey has placed a gigantic promissory note signed by Giuseppe Conte and Luigi Di Maio in the safe. What will it consist of? We know President Erdogan’s cunning and his ability to play at many tables, and always with some tricks up his sleeve.
SECRET SERVICES
But first we have to understand why we had to trust Ankara. Once the secret services identified Somalia as a prison and a group of Al Shabab (meaning “The Young One”) as armed guardians of the Milanese girl, it became clear that it was necessary to intercommunicate at the “sublime gate” to obtain the light green for action in one area of the world, the Horn of Africa, which Turkey, despite the French and the British, has registered as its main area of influence. Somalia today is today divided between Al Shabab jihadist terrorists (formerly close to Al Qaeda and now the Caliphate of Isis) and a very weak government that relies heavily on Turkey and its investments to find an appearance of order.
Certainly, the country of Erdogan is the new factor not only here but throughout Africa. The restoration of something akin to the Ottoman Empire, canceled at the end of World War I, haunts Erdogan’s sleepless nights. Who has shifted the center of gravity of his dominant attention longer, and has been known for years, to the North, but not even exclusively to the East, where he has to deal with Arabia and pro-American Russia. Today it is seen as a sphere of influence of its own, over which to exercise hegemony, Africa largely now (except Zaire and some other states) with a Muslim prevalence.
For this penetration, he affirms good relations with China, present in a massive way in Sudan, Mozambique and the Horn of Africa, as well as with Russia. Turkey in the operation for the release of the Milanese girl had the rudder in hand. We trust his forces and those of Mogadishu, who are a branch of Ankara. Was it a necessary choice? Or that, or the hell with that? Is it possible that we did not have the diplomatic strength to impose the attack guide on our chosen troops? These are matters that will need to be clarified, even if the state secret layer is likely to be deposited in the matter, but it always ends up being pierced by some rodent in question.
In the end, a rather humiliating geopolitical vision of the prevailing order in the world prevailed: we count little and NATO counts as a trump card in that Islamic territory, which as such is assigned to Turkey. Perhaps a bow was enough to return courtesy. How will Turkey spend the chips Conte handed it? We venture into not-so-hypothetical assumptions, if we believe that the package will be salty and will not end in a single concession.
LIBYA AND CYPRUS
1) Libya and the refugee issue. Turkey supports Al Serraj (Tripoli) against Haftar (Benghazi), supported by Egypt and Russia, as well as France and the Emirates, with uncertain Americans. Haftar seemed destined for a quick victory. It is now backing down, thanks to the support given to Al Serraj by Doha, Qatar and indeed Ankara. Italy had been first with Al Serraj, urged by the United States and the UN to do this. Then he stood halfway. It is clear that Turkey will demand net support. Did we promise you that?
2) Turkey insists on the Tripolitania of Al Serraj to enjoy the exploitation of the wells off the coast, to the detriment of Eni. That we will do the same for deposits off the coast of Cyprus already assigned by contract to Italy and instead manned by Erdogan military ships. Turkish things?
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