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Closure of non-essential activities and prohibition of movement between Regions: these are the measures that the government is studying if the regulations already contained in the Dpcm of October 18 and the ordinances issued at these times by the Regions do not stop the rise of the curve epidemiological. The executive chooses to proceed gradually with a set goal: to keep production activities and schools open. But if the number of new positives from Covid and especially that of hospitalized people continues to increase as fast as in recent days, it seems obvious that other progressive closings should be carried out, if not a new closure. Palazzo Chigi currently excludes it, although a threshold has been set within the executive: 2,300 people in intensive care. this is the level of alarm that could trigger drastic measures.
The Rt
So we proceed in concert with the governors, we work together to follow a common strategy, moving on the basis of the Rt index of the different areas. To decide how and where to intervene, the monitoring of the Higher Institute of Health will be essential, which will arrive today, at the latest tomorrow. And it will provide an updated picture of the situation. The Minister of Health Roberto Speranza and the Minister of Regional Affairs Francesco Boccia negotiate with the Regions, they work together so that the measures are homogeneous throughout Italy. Aware that what has been decided so far, including the mandatory use of masks, both outdoors and indoors and the curfew from 11 pm or midnight, may not be enough to prevent the worst. The ISS study on crisis scenarios has already identified the highest level, the worst, in three consecutive weeks of Rt above 1.5.
The maximum threshold
The big concern concerns hospitals. Because it is true that many health establishments are holding out, but others are in trouble, places are starting to run out in some cities. And compared to last spring, the average age of people with severe symptoms has dropped. Yesterday there were 926 people admitted to intensive care, a week ago, on October 14, there were about half, 539. This is the alarming number and interventions are being modulated on this. With the conviction that more than 2,300 people in serious conditions the system runs the risk of collapse.
October 22, 2020 (change October 22, 2020 | 07:20)
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