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The broader the composition of the majority, less political it will be the government. And therefore: with a very heterogeneous support that of Mario draghi will inevitably be a purely executive technical. An equation that is continually repeated in the palaces of political power in these crucial hours for the birth of the new majority. A path still far from being defined, on which two variables will weigh: the vote of the members of the 5 star movement his Rousseau, that of the deputies of the League Alabama European Parliament on the Regulation of Recovery Fund. In the former, it is impossible to make a prediction, even if the online consultation comes after the clear openings to Draghi by Beppe Grillo, Giuseppe Conte me Luigi di maio. The second, on the other hand, runs the risk of marking an unpredictable pro-European turn of the party of Matteo salvini, ready to radically change their positions, not only in the EU and in the monetary policy, but also in migrants – just to join the new government. After the abstention of the last weeks, the Northern League could vote in favor: it will decide only after the meeting with the prime minister in charge. But let’s go in order.
The 8 programmatic points – Yesterday Draghi started the second round of consultations, meeting with the groups “little ones“. For the first time on the table the fundamental themes of the new executive’s program. Eight programmatic points, with three great reforms: that of public administration, tax authorities and civil justice. The prime minister in charge indicated five emergencies on which he wants to operate immediately: the environmental one, the health one with the vaccine campaign to accelerate, that of work with the “protection” of the newly unemployed, companies (with support also to banks) and schools, with the calendar that will extend until June to compensate for the days lost due to the pandemic. It is mainly the passage about three great reforms that surprised the interlocutors of the former governor of the Bank of Italy by a “temporary nuance”: even if it is related to the Recovery, the complexity of the issues addressed by the three legislative interventions seems to suggest a not short time horizon.
Consultations, day two – Even today, Draghi should discuss the problems with the other parties: we started with the Maie and with Leu, and then we continue with Italy alive, Brothers from Italy, Ps, Go Italy, Lega e 5 star movement. Even today, the former president of the ECB shouldn’t talk about names. In short, there would be no reference to the composition of the government team. However, it is clear that this type of negotiation does not take place during official consultations but during direct talks between Draghi with the leaders. Talks that cannot begin before the prime minister in charge delimits the perimeter of his vast majority. Until today, the former president of the ECB has obtained the Yes of the majority who supported the government Conte 2, but also those of League me Go Italy. Only one party has announced that it wants to stay out of the game: Brothers from Italy.
Technical and political ministers without great – But now it’s up to Draghi to explain how he intends to stick together forces so distant. He will choose one “very large” majority, like that of the first round of consultations, and therefore, will it be forced in some way to launch a government of the president with all the technical ministers? Or will it eventually keep someone out? Issues that only the prime minister in charge will be able to resolve and to which any speech on ministries is linked. After concluding the consultations, Draghi must find the right place to launch what many envision as a new version of the government. 1993 Ciampi: technicians in key ministries, politicians in others but without leaders. The former governor of the Bank of Italy He would like to entrust the Ministry of Justice, the Interior and the Economy to professionals outside the world of politics. The undersecretary of the presidency of the council would be a trusted figure, while the great leaders of the parties would not enter the executive, as for example Nicola Zingaretti me Giuseppe Conte.
The euroLega: the unknown factor of Salvini’s turning point in the EU – The discussions are still premature, given that before talking about ministers, the prime minister in charge must decide with which majority to start. The doubts are many. Despite the very recent turn of the League, again last night Claudio Borghi has come to define Draghi’s as “the the most sovereign choice we can make“- It is still not possible to understand how the former president of the ECB can launch a European government with the Carroccio inside. The truth is that Salvini is pressing the accelerator of transformation to achieve the majority. Parliamentarians, economists and technicians of the League work during these hours with a view to voting on Recovery Fund scheduled for Wednesday night in the European Parliament. After the abstention on the document in committee at the time of the Conte government, now the Carroccio awaits the meeting with Draghi scheduled in Rome shortly before the vote in Brussels before making the final decision. A turning point to which it points Go Italy, whose is it big – yes Antonio Tajani a Mariastella gelmini – In the last hours there have been continuous calls to the allies to vote yes to the Recovery in Europe. A full u-turn that of Salvini’s party, motivated by a somewhat convoluted reasoning: one thing was the silence of the previous government, which did not involve anyone in the drafting of the Recovery, another – it is what leaks from the Carroccio – would be an investment plan , growth and development shared with the country, which makes it possible to overcome the policies of cuts and austerity that have caused so much damage.
Dragons, stars and Rousseau’s vow – Until now, the path followed by the 5 star movement, who nevertheless announced that he wanted to depend on the vote of the members of Rousseau to decide whether or not to support the nascent government. To give a boost to the movement in what for many is the most delicate period in its history, it has moved directly Beppe Grillo. The founder went to Rome and led the M5 delegation from Draghi, after listening to him on the phone during a conversation that lasted more than an hour. Then came Giuseppe Conte, which in the M5 assembly of parliamentarians pushed the main political force of Parliament to sit at the table, especially for “Supervise“In League, a party that “fears” and does not trust. The prime minister then announced that “we will try to establish conditions so that some topics they will no longer be able to remain at the table ”. A strategy that, however, does not include the permanence of the current tenant of Palazzo Chigi in the government: Conte explained that he will not be part of the ministerial team of the former president of the ECB. He is also a convinced governor Luigi di maio, who on Facebook explained how supporting Draghi would mean for the Movement to maintain the status of the scales.
The moment of the new government – the I vote your RousseauHowever, you could change the cards on the table. It certainly lengthens the process a bit to reach the formation of the new government. On the 5-star online portal, you can vote from 1:00 p.m. on Wednesday, February 9 at the same time the following day. When Draghi, who will end consultations on Wednesday afternoon after meetings with social partners and local authorities, could rise to Quirinal. Problems related to the composition of the team could lead the prime minister in charge to take a few more days of study, so much as to skip the week. If, on the contrary, the composition of the team is already clear, that same Thursday he could go to the Cerro to dissolve the reserve and communicate it to the president. Sergio Mattarella who accepts the assignment. At that time, we would work on the appointment of ministers and the oath. At the moment it does not seem that we can reach this milestone before Friday. In this case, the debate on confidence in Parliament would be set for the weekend. A deadline which at the moment seems difficult to respect.
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