[ad_1]
The basic fact that prevails above all is that the sovereign advance proposed by Salvini (we will even win 7-0) has not happened. That said, an endless series of problems arise, big and small. It is interesting to identify who lost these elections not only in terms of results, but also in terms of forecasts.
Almost every newspaper had talked about a collapse in voting for fear of Covid-19, this collapse did not even occur in the voting percentages for the referendum in the many Regions in which there was no voting. But the real debacle was that of the pollsters. In Tuscany and Puglia they have encountered a real debacle. Until yesterday morning in Tuscany, the pollsters explained that a comparison was taking place in the last vote and that for Puglia they always gave Fitto and the center-right in the lead. These were not minimal deviations, but errors of 10-20%.
At the political level, however, some things are clear and sharp. There is one defeated without the possibility of an alibi, that is Salvini, who lost in the clash with the center-left and who also lost in the League, where Luca Zaia literally destroyed him.
But Salvini, after the defeat in Emilia-Romagna, lost the challenge to the Democratic Party also in Tuscany, thus closing with a double KO the fight that he himself had gone to look for with the famous speech of Milano Marittima. But we must also take into account another defeat for Salvini, that of Fitto in Puglia, where there was a real collapse of the League against the European vote (from 25% to 9%). The result in Campania was not brilliant at all.
In essence, Salvini’s advance fails in both the Red Regions and the South. And therefore it is not an occasional electoral defeat, but a strategic defeat destined sooner or later to reopen the debate within the League that cannot choose life. natural during the performance only the silent chorus of the Butterfly.
In the background, then, are a series of legal facts that generally fade or disappear with political victories, but are instead accentuated when the accused also faces bitter political defeats. We do not know if it is a casual or very transcendent combination, but until now the events related to the relationship between politics and justice have also had this sinister aspect.
In turn, the 5-Star Movement can use the positive result of the Yes in the referendum to cover the real debacle suffered at the electoral level. The M5 lists, proudly presented by local representatives, have turned out to be a real failure. Here a paradox arises that essentially runs the risk of ridiculing the victory cry Di Maio delivered last night for the new quarterback Diaz. A few days ago, regarding the referendum, Grillo proclaimed that this, with the sure victory of the Yes, would have served to cut off the heads of a good number of dinosaurs.
Except that Grillo did not realize that he was speaking in 2020, with a parliament elected in 2018, and not in 2010. If the results of the regional teams are used to conduct real polls, the grillini in the next elections run the risk of face a massacre if they join. the effects of cutting the number of parliamentarians with the collapse of their voting percentages.
The person who faced a heavy defeat was Renzi, who nevertheless avoided the worst after Giani’s victory in Tuscany. On the other hand, where Renzi has also lost face is in Puglia, where his candidate has highlighted a total inconsistency. And if the polls that Emiliano and Fitto gave in a handkerchief were true, then Renzi would have assumed very serious responsibilities: luckily for him, Emiliano solved the problem. However, the 4.5% of Renzi in Tuscany runs the risk of having a sinister significance.
Finally, there is no doubt that the winners of these elections are on the one hand the Democratic Party, on the other hand President Conte. The Democratic Party wins the elections in the right sense, although not all that glitters is gold, because the results in Puglia and Campania are not derived from the party, but from the political and media effect of two regional presidents, Emiliano and De Luca. In turn, Conte wins like those who in cycling language (there was the Tour de France in recent days) are called the “wheel suckers”, for which he exploits the trail of the Democratic Party in the regional elections and that of the Movement 5 stars for referendum.
We come here to the basic question. The Conte government, the Democratic Party, the M5 itself as a whole, despite what we believe were very serious errors (let us never forget that in Italy there were 35,000 deaths and authentic massacres in some areas of Lombardy), as regards The management of the first phase of Covid-19 got away with it.
But now they have to face the second phase. In this field the problems are very serious, because it will be necessary to see if they will be faced with an innovative and reformist bias or with a populist and assistance approach, perhaps spiced up with a bit of more justicialism. This calls into question the underlying political quality of the political forces, and therefore of the government.
The implementation of the platforms for the use of the funds derived from the Recovery Plan, the election of the Month will be decisive for today and for the next elections that will almost certainly take place on the natural expiration date: those that call for elections immediate because this parliament would be delegitimized, they look a lot like dogs that bark at the moon
The thesis has been disputed in an argumentative way by some jurists, but in any case it becomes impractical due to the elementary fact that the current parliamentarians are far from being willing to transform themselves into Christmas turkeys for free.
[ad_2]
