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General closure nationwide soon, or in a month, if the epidemic trend of Covid-19 in Italy is not reversed, we will find ourselves facing a “dramatic” situation, since the system “will not be able to resist”. A strong appeal comes from President of the National Federation of Medical Orders (Fnomceo) Filippo Anelli, who warns: “A trend that does not change, in 30 days we will have to deal with a huge number of deaths.”
“Considering this week’s data as a typical trend and if we project them without anticipating further increases,” Rings explains to ANSA, “the situation in a month will be dramatic and therefore we must immediately resort to a total closure. Either we block the virus or it will block us because the signals tell us that the system does not hold and even the now yellow Regions will soon find themselves in the same conditions as the most affected areas “, and” with the current average, in a month we would go further 10,000 dead. “The total blockade, Anelli points out,” is a strong request, but very worrying signals are coming from many parts of the country. The situation seems to increasingly highlight a national health system on the ropes. ” numbers «tell us that this week we have had an average of 1000 hospitalized per day; this means that, if the trend does not change, in the next 30 days, for the Immaculate Conception, we will have another 30 thousand hospitalized, which will be added to the 26 thousand current. ”Also this week, he says numbers in hand,“ we also had an average of 116 hospitalized per day in intensive care, so in 30 days, always in a trend without changes, we will have another 3,000 people in intensive care, for a total of more than 5,000 patients in these departments. But about 5 thousand – he stresses – was the maximum number of beds available in intensive care last March, and if it is true that the government has increased the number of beds to about 11 thousand, it is also true that today we do not have enough doctors and nurses. to manage these additional posts. ‘
The other «great risk – he adds – is that stop all other medical interventions“A dramatic scenario is expected, with an unchanged trend, according to Anelli, also in relation to deaths from Covid-19:« In the last week, deaths were on average 338 per day; in a month, with this average, we would reach about 10,000 deaths. “Thus, the system” does not hold, also because – it warns – the effects of the new restrictive measures will not be seen for another 20 days. “Another aspect to take into account is that in January” the Seasonal flu cases will increase considerably and it will be very difficult, if not impossible, to manage the two emergencies together. The NHS jumps. “
“It is necessary – concludes the president of the Federation of Medical Orders – to arrive as soon as possible to the toughest, but necessary, measure of the general confinement”.
Ansa agency service – by Manuela Correra
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