the government’s plan if contagions explode



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Easter ei weekfinish with the rules of Red zone, like during the Christmas holidays. IS curfew early at 20, so the head of the Higher Institute of Health, Silvio Brusaferro, defined “deep yellow” at the last vertex with Mario draghi held on Tuesday. Tomorrow the new Dpcm, expires on April 6, but the government fears that it is already old, inadequate to face the aggressiveness of the third wave of the epidemic. Hence the hypothesis of new restrictions on the measure of variants. The surge of contagion it had already been taken into account, analyzed and studied.

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And the restrictions of the new Dpcm. In fact, on Tuesday, when presenting the measure, Health Minister Roberto Speranza said: “The government will evaluate the evolution of the epidemiological curve in the coming weeks and how to possibly adjust the measures.” Draghi, however, intends to wait a few days before deciding on a possible new adjustment. The prime minister and ministers know that the country is on its last legs, that any further repression could trigger protests or (if all goes well) phenomena of civil disobedience.


The band system

So, for the moment at least, the government relies on the gang system. And, above all, it trusts the containment effects of the virus produced by the hail of ordinances signed by Speranza and by the regional governors that are staining municipalities, provinces and entire regions of red and “intense orange” where the variants of Covid-19 they are multiplying infections and pushing into areas of acute and medical care that suffer. On Tuesday, at the last government summit with Brusaferro, Franco Locatelli (Higher Health Council) and Agostino Miozzo (coordinator of the CTS) it was said that the best solution would be a general blockade of 3-4 weeks (excluding Sardinia), as proposes Guido Bertolaso ​​and dozens of virologists and doctors who yesterday had to face a new wave of hospitalizations (458 more in 24 hours), intensive care admissions (232) and new positives (22,860). 33% more in seven days. But at the top of Palazzo Chigi it was also observed, in fact, that it is preferable to wait a few days, to see the effects of the total closure of schools in the red zones and of the selective and surgical interventions in the territories where there are outbreaks.

And then evaluate what action to take. On the table at the summit, it was said, Brusaferro threw the hypothesis of “intense yellow” with a curfew at 20 in all Regions. But the decision was postponed due to fears related to the impact this measure would have on commercial activities: the shutters should close at 7:00 p.m. Another tightening analyzed is the replication of the system of holidays and pre-holidays in red (Holy Week and Holy Week). Monday included), already used between Christmas and Befana. Translation: shops, bars and restaurants closed, municipal limits closed, all forced to stay at home: you go out only for reasons of necessity, health and work. “If the situation were to rush,” say those who follow the record for the government, “it will be inevitable to launch both a curfew and red weekends.” And farewell, among other things, to the cinemas and theaters open from March 27.

Signs of hope

However, any new adjustment should not last more than a month. Experts are convinced that after Easter the situation will improve, waiting for the arrival in Italy of an avalanche of vaccines and relying on the “Figluolo effect”, named after the army general recently appointed by Draghi as super commissioner for the emergency with the homework. to give a strong acceleration to the vaccination campaign. “Especially since we already see some signs of improvement”, says a member of the CTS, “thanks to the vaccinations carried out, the health personnel no longer get sick and hundreds of people over eighty years old do not arrive at RSA hospitals. And if the promised vaccine doses arrive between the end of March and the beginning of April, it will be the turning point.



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