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Florence post coronavirus, with its squares devoid of tourists, the historic markets half empty at noon. That is why it is not easy for the center-left to bet everything on the votes that have always come from the city and its metropolitan area. That 20 percent more than his opponents, he writes. Republic, which often served to alleviate the wounds inflicted always somewhere else: Livorno, Pisa, Siena, Lucca, Massa. Only the province of Florence has more than a million inhabitants, a third of the Tuscans, but it is also so that in populous provinces like Pisa and Prato the League now travels in front of the Democratic Party. “If we beat Salvini by 20-25 points in the province of Florence and we win well in Siena and Livorno, we keep Tuscany”, I’ve been repeating for days the strategists pd.
As difficult as predicting the duration of the crisis. To play tricks on the Democratic Party, in addition to the votes that run the risk of dispersing in Tommaso Fattori’s left-wing list, it could be participation: in 2015 48% of the graduates votedsometimes pollster estimates They talk about 55, but will it really be like that with the Covid curve going up? Republic it hints at the doubt that the virus could play a fundamental role in the elections. In a region, however, that did not have and does not have the data for Lombardy or, for example, the neighboring Emilia Romagna.
It almost seems that the newspaper Largo Fochetti wants to be done with his hands in the event of Giani’s defeat. The risk is that the elderly will abandon the polls. And that the Democratic Party is first of all the loser and, according to data from Itanes, it could have 44% of the electorate over 60, the one that is now most scared. “We have to make 300-320 thousand votes between Florence, Prato and Pistoia and bet on another 100-120 between Siena and Livorno”, reason the magicians of dem numbers. On Monday the response from the polls. Meanwhile, Repubblica has already found the “excuse” to justify the possible ko of the left in Tuscany: the coronavirus that “prevents” the elderly from voting.
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