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Liguria. Come out sadly the contagion index Rt throughout Italy and even Liguria is no exception. Calculated in the last follow-up of the Higher Institute of Health, in our Region corresponds to 1.54. A fact, confirmed by the president Giovanni All during the press point on the coronavirus emergency at the Borea hospital in San Remo, which inserts ours among the regions where the risk of a blockade begins to be real based on the forecasts of a study delivered to the government and anticipated today by Corriere della Sera.
At the moment, according to follow-up, they are 11 regions classified as “high risk” of an uncontrolled transmission “of the coronavirus and among these it has already formed part of the Liguria. Italy as a whole is situated in stage 3, but four regions (Calabria, Emilia Romagna, Lombardy, Piedmont) plus the province of Bolzano would already be compatible with the scenario 4. To make a comparison Piedmont me Lombardy have exceeded the RT 2 threshold, they are respectively at 2.16 and 2.09. The autonomous province of Bolzano and the Aosta Valley are close to 2 (1.96).
In the most serious scenario, according to the ISS, they are regional Rt values ”mainly and significantly” higher than 1.5 and Liguria, with today’s data, appears just above the threshold and in any case under the national average which is 1.7. Among the consequences would be “clear signs of overload of care services” in a month or month and a half and the inability to trace the origin of new cases. Unless the epidemic spreads among the young and old, it cannot be protected, which is defined as “unlikely” in the study. And then if such a situation lasted three weeks, they would return necessary “very aggressive containment measures”.
All however, he recalled that the rate of contagion detected “it is very high, but lower than the one reached at the peak of the pandemic in the spring which was approximately 1.8 ″. This is because, according to the governor of Liguria, “we probably anticipate the explosion in regions like Lombardy, Piedmont and Campania in fifteen days. If the number of infections, due to merit or the extraordinary number of tampons, continues to grow, the number of hospitalized patients and intensive care units grows much less proportionally ”.
In any case, apart from the visit to the Santa Corona de Pietra Ligure hospital, the president did not rule out new restrictions: “There is no total emergency, of course we will have to see the epidemiological trend in the coming days and in we are ready to take other measures, but only with extreme attention and balance, waiting and evaluating the effectiveness of the current ones “
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