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It seems incomprehensible, but pre-pandemic viruses would not create pandemics or epidemics if we left them in their ecosystems and natural balances. In summary, I could summarize that pre-pandemic viruses have their own “pandemic potential”, which is closely related to their route of transmission and contagion. Let’s call it “virus factor”.
The “virus factor” is not the only element of the pandemic fireco ma is its unique and irreplaceable component. I am sure that time and again in recent years similar conditions have been created for the emergence of a pandemic coronavirus but that always, until 2020, many of these have become extinct while others such as Sars, Mers, bird flu, swine flu , Ebola and Zika have been more or less under control in a few months. And why was the dissemination contained in these cases and not with Covid-19? Because very often it is human beings who create the conditions so that these health emergencies can be controlled or exploited. and then have high-impact ramifications. More and more. The 2020 pandemic informs us that its evolution depends particularly on the behavior of people and the systems in which they operate. There is no doubt that the accelerated spread around the world was due to the movement of infected people both internationally, nationally and locally to the smallest fraction of the municipality. Let’s call it then “Individual factor” and this includes not only the characteristics of the individual himself and his personal receptivity to infection, but also, for example, his mobility.
Until the 2020 pandemic, these two factors were the main determinants of the spread of a pandemic virus and I think None of us would have imagined even a few years ago that the main determinants of the pandemic trend would have been virtual entities such as information and social media. Never in the last hundred years (during which there have been five flu pandemics) has information been so ubiquitous, liquid, and intrusive with complicated topics even for the savvy. The key point that perhaps most people overlook is that this is the most measured biological and social phenomenon in history. It is the event where tons of mature biotechnologies have spilled out of nowhere and not only gave us millions of doses of vaccines in record time.
The same technology identifies hundreds of thousands of sequences. Viral genetics (each virus has its own sequence) that no one, before today, had dared to decode, analyze, much less interpret. The effort is planetary. I assure you: virtually continuous virtual meetings are being held between evolutionary virologists from around the world to follow the key to the pandemic skein and discuss the implications of what they observe. I want to say it forcefully: it is neither fair nor possible to pigeonhole a series of biological phenomena such as mutations, deletions and their possible consequences in mental boxes suitable for clickbait or inattentive viewers. Because it is not right: those who later have the keys to get out of this situation become disoriented, that is, the people who are nothing more than the “individual factor”.
But that is not enough, unfortunately. In addition to correct or incorrect information – but still public and therefore traceable and verifiable – there is the mare magnum of social media. And of course, you say, we knew. Here I just wanted to make sure it was clear that it is precisely through the delirium of messages that move in the connectosphere of social networks and through the amplification of ambiguous information issued even by highly accredited media that it is determined what happens with the “virus factor”. Ultimately, the main determinants of the 2020 pandemic are likely to be virtual and paradoxically influence the evolution of the pandemic much more than the virus factor and the individual factor combined. A real evolving pandemic driven primarily by forces that do not exist in the biological world. The virtual ones.
January 1, 2021 (change January 2, 2021 | 08:44)
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