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COVID-19: not even the moment to rejoice at the news of one cornering braking Of the infections you’ve already heard of third wave risk.
Many experts, in fact, in these hours agree that the critical phase of the pandemic will not end with the arrival of the peak of the second wave, since as soon as the current curve begins to fall we will have to worry about the start of the third wave.
As we explained yesterday, it seems that the contagion curve both when braking. In particular, infections continue to increase, but at a slower rate than in recent weeks; a slowdown that according to many experts is the prelude to second wave peak, which could be available next week. This is good news because it would mean that after the peak descent phase, with the infections that after several weeks will go down again, giving the health system a little respite (for which the point of maximum capacity could be reached in a couple of weeks).
However, this does not mean that we will go through a Christmas quiet. On the other hand, as the Undersecretary of Health Sandra Zampa anticipated, it is very likely that restrictions will be introduced regarding the guests to the Christmas Eve dinner and Christmas lunch, with celebrations that will only be possible with close relatives.
The restrictions will be necessary because, according to many experts, it is precisely with the Christmas season that the third wave should begin.
Third wave at Christmas? This is what you risk
The last, in chronological order, to confirm the possibility of a third wave of COVID-19 for the Christmas period he was a teacher Giuseppe Ippolito, Scientific Director of the Spallanzani Institute in Rome, as well as a member of the Scientific Technical Committee.
On the other hand, there are countries – see Japan – where the third wave has already arrived; and the Spanish influence was also characterized by three different waves.
The problem this time is that the third wave could come when we haven’t completely eliminated the second wave yet.
When the second wave began, in fact, ICUs now lacked COVID patients; This made it possible, although with many difficulties, to avoid the collapse of the health system (hypothesis not totally avoided according to the experts, since it is necessary to understand if the curve is really slowing down).
The third wave, however, could start as soon as the second wave ends; And taking into account the length of stay in hospitals, it would mean that in the ICU there may still be people who got sick during the second wave.
For this reason we must ensure that don’t underestimate the third wave; This can hardly be avoided, but it will be important not to repeat the mistakes made in the summer. That is why there will hardly be a relaxation of the restrictions for Christmas, and that is why there will be restrictions for the Christmas season (there are those who believe that there will be a This decree to determine what can and cannot be done).
Third wave of COVID-19: peak in February
Although the third wave of COVID-19 will begin in December, the critical phase must be reached towards early february. Then the descent will begin and, we hope, the light will begin to appear at the end of this long tunnel.
Also worrying is the fact that the third wave could coincide with the flu spike. It must be said, however, that influenza infections also appear to be declining compared to previous years, thanks to restrictions introduced to curb the coronavirus.
In any case, the third wave of COVID-19 should come to the rescue. pharmaceutical companies; between the end of the year and the beginning of 2021, in fact, they could receives the first doses of the vaccine, to keep recovery from infections under control and prevent the collapse of hospitals.
It must be said, however, that not all doctors agree start date of the third wave (which however seems to be undoubted that there will be): for example, in an interview with Newspaper, the virologist Fabrizio Pregliasco He said he was sure of a third wave in February.
