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Let’s give Salvini time to understand what happened, to reabsorb the blow and reorganize his ideas after the first lost victory of his career. Hot took it out in the “old faces” of the candidates from the South, as if the fiasco was the fault of Fitto or Caldoro and of those who put them on the plate (read Meloni and Berlusconi); but in a few days, as soon as the disappointment ceases and he can read the results with more judgment, Matteo will see that in the end not even his candidate in Tuscany has shot up. You will realize that the League has lagged behind everywhere in the face of the triumph of the last European elections. And maybe take note that factors on which it is useless to play the blame game with center-right allies weigh on Regionals. First of all, Covid had influence: all outgoing governors were helped. Not even Mandrake would have defeated De Luca in Campania or Emiliano in Puglia, just as no one on the left could have defeated Toti in Liguria and Zaia in Veneto. They were lost games from the beginning. But Salvini shot himself in the foot by announcing a seven to zero that perhaps he could have achieved a year ago, not now. Ecclesiastes also says it: “There is a time for everything, a time for everything under heaven.” The regionals arrived too late.
The same goes for the government: as long as the epidemic lasts, and unfortunately it won’t be short, any attempt by a shoulder is bound to crash into a wall. There is the obsession with the virus that has transformed a people of anarcho-individualists into a pro-government herd. There are 209 billion Europeans to be distributed in the form of grants, bonuses, tips and grants – raise your hand if you don’t expect to win something. The desire to survive prevails that, as the cynical Andreotti warned, it is always better to kick the bucket. Conte embodies what the convent is going through today, which in national mediocrity corresponds to the best possible premier; in fact, in the polls he surpasses everyone and even Pope Francis. It is firmly in power, shielded by a majority that, especially after the reduction of deputies and senators, will have the sole purpose of resisting, resisting, resisting in the seats until the next elections in 2023. It is difficult to imagine a more useless move, for To say the least, that Order of the Northern League to Mattarella to send us back to the polls. Even the stones know that the president would never do that. In short: Conte will stay with him; and if by some accident he falls, another one similar to him will arrive in his place.
But in the meantime, what will Salvini do? How are they going to spend the next 30 months waiting for Parliament to expire? From a character who gives her best in tweets, rallies, crowds and photos of matches, it is difficult to expect more than a permanent electoral campaign. They will probably double down on their efforts and propaganda, as if nothing happened. And yet, if I wanted to, I would have many other things to do. Toti suggested one, with friendship and respect: He could try to become the leader of the center right. For now Salvini leads the League but not Forza Italia, much less the Brothers of Italy. Despite the captain’s cap, he has to deal with Meloni who takes no orders from anyone and even ate it off his plate at Regionals. Continuing like this will hurt both of you; and in any case their rivalry, which translates into getting ahead, always doing “plus one” even if it is not necessary, unleashes an extremist drift that puts the few surviving liberals on the right to flight. Matteo and Giorgia should think of something. Non-belligerent pact, federation, single party: there are a thousand formulas, which are the most appropriate. They have two and a half years to find it.
They should also take advantage of it to update the program. Shouting “fòra i nègher, criminals in jail and Azzolina at home” has bored people, it no longer satisfies this Italy in the bill where priorities have become others for families and companies. Instead of vociferous populism, it would take a bit of rigor in the service of the country. It would take a plan from the right, but from the historic right, against the governors, against the pricking hands, against forward leaks, against the attempts (and how will there be any) to create consensus with the money from the Recovery Fund. In the months and years to come, Salvini may turn to foreign policy and retrain in the eyes of the next American administration, where he is viewed as a Putin troll. The same is the case with Europe – with time and with the right behavior, you can create a few fewer enemies. But above all, if in 2023 he wants to defeat a competitive left, he will have to change the political message, adjusting it to dreams and hopes rather than nightmares and anger. You will be able to make people forget the Covid denial, tuck that ostentatious rosary in your pocket as provocation, broaden your circle of advisers, hear some moderate and common-sense voices. The usual Qohèlet says it in the Old Testament: «Time to plant, time to pull up; time to launch, time to gather; time to cry, time to laugh.
What if Salvini refused to make a “pit stop”, insisting on demonstrations and propaganda? A class of local managers may emerge in the center-right who are demonstrating balance, competition, and healthy pragmatism. Two and a half years also represent an opportunity for them.
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