“Rt returns to 0.86, high risk in Lazio, Veneto and Liguria” – Corriere.it

In the week of supervision In the majority of Regions and Autonomous Provinces a Moderate or High risk is still observed with sonly five low-risk regions of an uncontrolled and uncontrollable epidemic. This trend requires rigor in the adoption and compliance of measures, avoiding a relaxation in behavior. It can be read in the draft of the usual monitoring of the ISS. the regions where the risk persists high are Liguria, Lazio and Veneto. The incidence of Covid-19, in Italy, in the last 14 days, rose to 374.81 per 100,000 inhabitants in the period from November 30 to December 13 from 454.70 per 100,000 inhabitants in the period from November 23 to 6th of December.

In the period November 25 to December 8 Furthermore, in 2020, the average transmissibility index Rt calculated in symptomatic cases was equal to 0.86, uphill compared to 0.82 from last week’s follow-up. a reversal of the trend after weeks in which the rate of spread of contagion had been slowing down. A fact considered especially worrying by the president of the ISS, Silvio Brusaferro, because it means that the infection is recovering. RT always affects the first to move, then follows infections, hospitalizations, deaths. This situation does not allow a relaxation of the measures adopted in recent weeks and even requires their strengthening in some areas of the country, the report emphasizes. For three regions Lazio, Lombardy, Veneto) a return to a type 2 scenario is assumed due to a Rt returned above 1. Thirteen regions are classified as moderate risk, of which 2 (Marche and Trentino) have a high probability of progressing to high risk in the next month if the current transmissibility remains unchanged.

In such an epidemiological setting, unable to restore infection tracking. Although there has been a decrease in the incidence at the national level in the last 14 days, the value is still far from levels that would allow the identification of cases and their contacts to be completely restored throughout the national territory. This approach showed the first signs of criticism when the nationwide value surpassed 50 cases per 100,000 in seven days.

A positive fact refers to intensive therapy. In general, the number of people admitted to the ICU decreasing from 3,345 (08/12/2020) to 3,003 (12/15/2020). The number of people admitted to medical areas also decreased from 30,081 (12/08/2020) to 27,342 (12/15/2020). This was revealed in the draft of the weekly follow-up issued by Iss-Ministry of Health.