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In 16 regions In the November 11-24 period, the average transmissibility index Rt calculated in symptomatic cases was less than 1. This is what can be deduced from the monitoring in the ISS Covid.
And give
In the period examined, explains the institute, the mean Rt calculated on symptomatic cases was equal to 0.91 (range 0.79-1.08). There are Rt point values less than 1 in. 16 regions. Of these, 15 have an rt point of less than one. «even at its highest confidence interval, indicating a significant decrease in transmissibility». All the Regions have a contagion index “punctual Rt, in its average value, less than one”. In five Regions, on the other hand, is greater than 1: Calabria, Lazio, Molise, Tuscany me Veneto.
In addition, the draft says that, for the second week in a row, the incidence of cases in the last 14 days has decreased. These data “are encouraging and confirm the impact of the measures that accompany the decrease in hospitalizations in the medical area and in intensive care; however, the pressure on hospital services remains very high. ‘
Three “high risk” regions
Three regions are “classified as high risk” for Sars-Cov-2 transmission: Calabria, Puglia me Sardinia, the latter as a “precautionary measure, as the integrity” of the data cannot be reliably assessed. This is what emerges from the Report. The high-risk classification “for 3 or more consecutive weeks – he says – foresees the adoption of specific measures at the provincial and regional level.”
«The incidence is still too high to allow sustainable management, so it is necessary to achieve transmissibility levels significantly lower than 1 throughout the national territory, allowing a greater decrease in the number of new cases of infection and, consequently, a reduction in pressure on local health services and hospitals .», Underlines the ISS.
Improve tracking
We continue to observe a decrease in the number of cases not attributable to known transmission chains (62,617 compared to 77,541 in the previous week): this figure, together with the increase in the percentage of cases detected through contact tracing activities (24.7 % versus 17.1%) suggests an improvement in the monitoring activity itself.
“Although it is improving, there is still a general difficulty in maintaining the high quality of the data reported to the integrated surveillance system, both due to its timeliness (delay in reporting cases) and its completeness. The epidemiological data analyzed refer to the week of November 23-29, 2020, which is currently the most recent consolidated data available. As a consequence, this can lead to a possible underestimation of the transmission speed and incidence.The report continues.
The incidence of cases
According to the ISS, this week there is a significant decrease in the incidence at the national level in the last 14 days: 590.65 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the period 23/11 / 2020-29 / 11/2020 compared to 706.27 per 100,000 inhabitants in the period 09/11/2020-22/11/2020, although this “remains at very high levels.”
Last updated: 16:37
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