[ad_1]
Genoa – Liguria, in the week of September 30 to October 6, leads the ranking of the regions on the relationship between new cases and swabs performed. The data arises from the monitoring of the Gimbe foundation, which has prepared a report on the entire national territory, both on the increase in new infections and on the growth in the number of hospitalized patients.
National data
The independent monitoring of the Gimbe Foundation detects in the week September 30-October 6, compared to the previous week, a net increase in the trend of new cases (17,252 vs. 12,114) compared to a slightly higher number of cases tested (429,984 vs. 394,396), as well as a significant increase in the positive / case ratio (4% vs 3.1%). From the epidemiological point of view, positive cases are currently increasing (60,134 vs. 50,630) and, in the hospital setting, hospitalized patients with symptoms are increasing (3,625 vs. 3,048) and in intensive care (319 vs. 271). Deaths continue to rise, albeit slowly (155 versus 137). In detail, compared to the previous week, the following changes were recorded: Deaths: +18 (+ 13.1%) Intensive care: +48 (+ 17.7%) Hospitalized with symptoms: +577 (+ 18.9 %) New cases: +17,252 (+ 42.4%) Currently positive cases: +9,504 (+ 18.8%) Cases analyzed +35,588 (+ 9%) Total swabs: +63,351 (+ 9.7%).
Gimbe Foundation: “Increase in cases in the last week”
“In the last week – says Nino Cartabellotta, president of the GIMBE Foundation – the contagion curve has skyrocketed, as a consequence of the net increase in the ratio of positive / proven cases. The steady growth of hospitalized patients with symptoms and those in intensive care is also confirmed. Since mid-July, new weekly cases have more than tenfold (from just over 1,400 to over 17,000), with the positive / case ratio increasing from 0.8% to 4%. This trend has generated a progressive increase in the currently positive cases, which have increased fivefold since the end of July: from 12,482 to 60,134.
New test cases performed: Liguria at the top of the ranking (7.7%)
“The increase in the ratio of positive cases / tested -explains the president- confirms that the virus circulates in a more sustained way: therefore, in the Regions where it exceeds 5% it is essential to promote testing & tracing activities”. In the week of September 30 to October 6 is Liguria (7.7%), Campania (6.3%), Autonomous Province of Trento (6.8%), Piedmont (6.2%) and Valle d’Aosta (5.4%). Regarding hospitalizations, since the end of July there has been an increase in hospitalized patients with symptoms and in intensive care, which have gone from 732 to 3,625 and from 49 to 319 respectively.
Hospitalized per 100,000 inhabitants: Liguria in second place
If the national data – Cartabellotta points out – do not allow us to glimpse an overload of hospital services, relevant regional differences begin to emerge. “In particular, as of October 6, 8 Regions registered hospitalization rates per 100,000 inhabitants higher than the national average of 6.5: Lazio (13.9), Liguria (13), Campania (9.2), Sardinia (8.8), Sicily (7.9), Piedmont (7.1), Abruzzo and Puglia (6.6) “. the percentage composition of the positive cases currently – continues the president – has remained constant since the beginning of July: on average, 93-94% of the positives are in home isolation because they are asymptomatic / oligosymptomatic; 5-6% hospitalized with symptoms and 0.5% in intensive care. However, also for this indicator regional differences light more red lights. “In some Regions, in fact, the percentage of hospitalized cases is clearly higher than the national average of 6.6%: Sicily (11.5%), Liguria (10.4%) Lazio (9.9%), Puglia (8.9%), Piedmont (8.6%), Abruzzo (8.2%), Basilicata (7.9%). Also on the side of deaths From the beginning of September, a slow but steady growth trend began to emerge: the number of deceased patients increased from 46 to 155 per week. In other words, the president explains, “the dynamics of the epidemic, very different from the first wave, shows that the progressive increase in currently positive cases that began at the end of July, after a month triggered an increase in hospitalized patients with symptoms and in therapy “. intensive, and after 2 months, it also begins to affect deaths ”. “The obligation to wear masks even outdoors – concludes Cartabellotta – is a measure consistent with the rapid increase in infections, given that we still do not know the real impact of the reopening of schools and the additional overload of health services resulting from the However, to contain the second wave, particularly in the central-southern regions, the GIMBE Foundation reiterates the need to anticipate the virus on all fronts: in particular, it is essential to strengthen and standardize the standards of ‘Territorial and hospital, in addition to finding a solution to reduce the high risk of contagion in public transport ”.
