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The beginning of next year could bring about important political changes. To hear the words of Matteo renziIn fact, he seems to understand that the Giallorossi government led by Giuseppe Conte is now numbered.
According to Corriere della Sera, after the last speech of the Prime Minister on television, the leader of IV was clear:“The Conte II experience is already on file for me. If you want, we can discuss the last one.” The crisis could begin immediately after the Epiphany. This does not automatically mean that Italians are called to the polls. Elections are not right for everyone, especially everyone. M5 that he would face a very strong defeat (at least if you trust the poll numbers) and the same Iv which would run the risk of occupying only a few seats. On the other hand, it is possible that Parliament will look for the numbers for another majority. With this solution we could thwart the movements of possible “responsible” in support of Giuseppi.
Not everyone, especially among his former party colleagues, believes that Renzi is really willing to disconnect the government. Too many risks and unknowns. However, the former Demolisher would have no intention of backing down far enough to admit that “I should hide on Mars if I change my mind”. But in politics never say never. Renzi himself promised to leave politics if at the constitutional referendum December 2016 had won No. What happened then. And we know how it turned out. The current senator has not abandoned politics but only the Democratic Party to found IV.
The imminent future could offer surprises. Renzi has Prime Minister Conte in his sights for the sensitive issues of governance of the Recovery Fund and the delegation of the secret services. The notices addressed to the Prime Minister have disappeared. So far, however, few results. “Did you hear what he said about delegating Services? “, commented with a leader of the Democratic Party: ‘He made it a party problem. A joke worthy of an institutional illiterate ».
The following steps
The first step, Corriere still remembers, will be formalized tomorrow when Iv’s comments on the draft are presented. Recovery plan prepared by Palazzo Chigi. The document consists of thirty pages and one hundred objections will serve to reject “a collage of the obvious without vision, full of repetitions and with wrong paragraphs”. This could already be a severe blow to the executive.
There is also a second step: Renzi’s intervention in the Senate at the end of the year on a Financial who will vote to prevent the country from exercising temporarily. Finally, the third act will take place, about which many have reservations. “the first days of January, when I will also take courage for Di Maio and Zingaretti”. A scathing joke dedicated to the chancellor and the secretary of the Democratic Party to remember what a dem representative in the government does not struggle to recognize: “About a month ago, half of my party and a part of M5S had made a pact with Renzi, only to withdraw.” But Conte must not only be careful with Renzi. Because critical voices to his work, although not too many in the light of day, there would also be in the rest of the parties of the majority that support him.
Looking for a new majority
The countdown that will mark the end of Count II seems to have begun. Paradoxically, differences between allies as well as rivalries between leaders hold the majority together for the moment. But even the time of paradoxes will sooner or later end because as the Defense Minister explained in a confidential interview, Lorenzo Guerini, “In the meantime, everything must be restarted and a climate of mutual trust rebuilt”. However, it is difficult to hypothesize that we can start over with the same actors working in a setting that has remained substantially the same.
It cannot be ruled out that, due to contrary vetoes and the desire not to go to the polls, a new government is born, still led by the current prime minister. “May be, even if you trust a Conte 3 – Renzi confided to a member of the Democratic Party – it would cost me “. A “crazy” idea, but if it was the only way to go, the Giallorossi might be tempted to follow it. The problem will be to understand whether at that moment the limits of the majority will be extended to the center-right forces in a kind of government of national unity. But at that time the rumors would be many and different. Not exactly the best for a cohesive government.
