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Starting since Sunday December 6 the only Region that remains red is Abruzzo, While Campania, Bolzano province, Aosta Valley me Tuscany they pass in the orange band. Then there is Emilia romagna, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Market, Puglia me Umbria that go from orange to yellow. The new ordinances signed by the Minister of Health provide for this Roberto Speranza on the basis of Weekly tracking control room, while for Lombardy, Piedmont me Basilicata we have to wait at least another week. The Higher Institute of Health, in the report for the November 11-24 period, certifies a “improvement” but recommend the “maximum attention” in adopting and respecting the anti-contagion measures, inviting to “avoid one relaxation premature“.
“There are values of Punctual Rt less than 1 in 16 Autonomous Regions and Provinces. Of these, 15 have a punctual Rt less than one, even in its highest confidence interval, which indicates a significant decrease in transmissibility ”, explains the follow-up. In 5 regions, on the other hand, the punctual Rt transmissibility index is above the value 1: it is Calabria (1.06), Lazio (1.04), Molise (1.38), Veneto (1.13) e Tuscany (1.01). By virtue of the 21 parameters, in the opinion of the Higher Institute of Health, three Regions are classified as high risk of 3 or more consecutive weeks: Calabria (as a precaution as it cannot be evaluated), Puglia me Sardinia.
“One observes – writes the Institute – one overall reduction of global risk, with the majority of the Regions and Autonomous Provinces being moderate risk and, for the first time in seven weeks, two low risk“. These data” are encouraging and confirm theimpact of measures which are accompanied by a decrease in hospitalizations in medical area and in intensive care “. However, “the pressure on hospital services continues to be very high”, points out the ISS and in any case recommends “maximum attention in the adoption and respect of the measures, avoiding premature relaxation and maintaining a high attention in the behaviors” .
The impact of the epidemic on health care services remains “high” in particular in 18 areas of the country that “on December 1, at least one critical threshold in the medical or intensive care area. ” employment rate of beds in intensive care “still exceeds the critical occupational threshold at the national level,” the report reads, although “the number of people hospitalized in intensive care is decreasing.”
According to the ISS “we continue to observe a decrease in the number of cases not attributable a known transmission chains (62,617 against 77,541 the previous week) “. A figure that” together with the increase in the percentage of cases detected activity tracking of contacts (24.7% versus 17.1%) ”suggests“ a improvement follow-up activity. “There is still one “Generalized difficulty” in “keep the quality of the data reported in surveillance system integrated both because of the punctuality (late notification of cases) and because of the completeness ”, the report observes. As a consequence, “this can lead to a possible underestimation of the Transmission speed and incidence “.
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