[ad_1]
The weekly report calls for interventions that favor “a drastic reduction in physical interactions between people and that can ease the pressure on health services, including restrictions on non-essential activities and restrictions on mobility.”
The weekly report calls for interventions that favor “a drastic reduction in physical interactions between people and that can ease pressure on health services, including restrictions on non-essential activities and restrictions on mobility.”
3 ‘reading
The situation in Italy shows signs of criticality of local services and of “imminent achievement of critical thresholds for welfare services”. The evidence of rapidly increasing cases with a national Rt of 1.5 in its mean value and significantly higher than 1 indicates a “general and very serious situation in the national territory with the risk of important short-term critical problems in numerous regions / Italian AP “. Therefore, “measures are necessary, with priority for the most affected areas, that favor a drastic reduction in physical interactions between people and that can alleviate the pressure on health services, including restrictions on non-essential activities and restrictions on mobility. It is also necessary to favor agile labor solutions to the maximum and implement the rest of the measures already foreseen in the strategic plan for this season. This was revealed by the weekly monitoring of the Ministry of Health-Iss corresponding to the week of October 12 to 18. So even before the recent surge in infections.
Rt above 1.25 in most regions
The epidemic is “worsening rapidly and in general it is compatible with a type 3 scenario with a higher rate of progression in some Italian regions: in fact, Rt values above 1.25 are found in most Italian regions / PAs. . In particular, the Piedmont Rt index is 1.83; from Lombardy 1.64; of Emilia Romagna 1.52; from Campania 1.45; from Liguria 1.46; from Campania 1.45; Lazio 1.38.
Unsustainable load in territorial services
In particular, “the workload is no longer sustainable in the territorial health services with evidence of the impossibility of fully tracing the transmission chains and an increase in the proportion of cases highlighted by symptoms (which for the first time this week exceed cases identified through contact tracing). In the period from October 1 to 14, 2020, the Rt transmissibility index calculated in symptomatic cases is equal to 1.50 and “warning signs of the resilience of local services in all Regions / PAs” are reported.
Some regions above 10% resuscitation occupancy
The intensive care situation is worrying. At the national level, there was a significant increase in the number of people hospitalized (7,131 vs 4,519 in the medical area, 750 vs 420 in intensive care on 10/18 and 10/11, respectively) and, consequently, occupancy rates increased . of hospitalizations in the medical area and in intensive care, with some Regions / PPAA above 10%. If the trend maintains the current pace, “there is a high probability that many Regions / HAPPs will reach critical employment thresholds in a very short time.”
7,625 active outbreaks, the home context is amplified
There are a total of 7,625 active outbreaks, of which 1,286 are new, and for the first time in eleven weeks the number of new outbreaks is decreasing (in the previous monitoring week, 4,913 active outbreaks were reported, of which 1,749 new). “This decrease is probably due to the sharp increase in cases in which the territorial services have not been able to identify an epidemiological link. Outbreaks have been reported in almost all provinces (106/107). Most of these outbreaks continue to occur in the home setting (81.7%), which at this time represents a context of amplification of the viral circulation and not the true engine of the epidemic ”.
