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Rome, November 10, 2020 – The countdown to the new risk map linked toCoronavirus epidemic has already started. And something will change even before new ordinance from the Minister of Health Roberto Speranza who will decide which new regions ended in red, orange, or yellow areas. The following day the repression will take effect (if the situation has worsened) or the easing of restrictions (if the general outlook has improved).
The president of the Higher Institute of Health Silvio Brusaferro has already announced that the situation in four regions is critical and that the harshest lockout could occur in those areas. They would be Emilia-Romagna, Veneto, Friuli Venezia and Giulia and Campania. But, according to what we learn, for at least three of them at the moment it is not no new ordinance is foreseen restrictive by the ministry. The regions have entered scenario 4 At moderate risk with a high probability of progression, Brusaferro asks for early measures but the executive wants to wait for more follow-up results. Yesterday’s data resulted in the orange zone Tuscany, Liguria, Abruzzo, Basilicata and Umbria: for now the situation should continue to be so. And this is because the governors of Friuli Venezia Giulia, Veneto and Emilia Romagna will soon launch a common ordinance that will establish a new repression in their yellow areas. It could be the last attempt to prevent parameters from deteriorating further and regions ending up in the orange or red zone. By order of Stefano Bonaccini some anticipation leaks: the measures could affect the mobility and will go into effect on Friday.
At this point, the situation of the Campania, so yesterday there was talk of a postponement of the restrictions for today. The decision, apparently, is linked to the recognition of the data that is being produced in the region at this time by the ministry’s technicians.
Covid Newsletter November 10
And parameters
To establish the risk bands, 21 indicators are crossed. They range from new weekly cases, going from the Rt index (the number that identifies how many people infect an infected person on average), reaching the capacity of beds in intensive care. Other parameters include: the number of swabs performed and the efficiency of data collection and transmission. Each number has a different weight and everything is processed by an algorithm that then defines the risk situation.
New orange regions
On Monday, the Health Ministry announced that the Autonomous Province of Bolzano will end up in the red zone. While Abruzzo, Basilicata, Liguria, Tuscany and Umbria will turn orange. The repression of these regions will begin tomorrow.
What is decided today
Roberto Speranza and his men, using the data collected and processed by the Scientific Technical Committee, today will have to decide the fate of Campania, which could go directly from the yellow band to the red zone. There should be no restrictions from the Ministry of Health for Emilia-Romagna, Veneto and Friuli-Venezia and Giulia.
What time is it decided
Therefore, probably only Campania will risk taking action already today. On November 4, the day of the publication of the first national map, the first news began to arrive at around 8:20 p.m. It was Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte himself who announced that the regions ended in the orange and red areas. Monday’s decision (with 5 regions in the orange zone and the autonomous province of Bolzano in the red zone) was anticipated by the governors of the regions around 6.30 p.m. According to rumors, the new map could arrive shortly after the publication of the infection bulletin. It will depend a lot on technical checks of the data in Campania.
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