New dpcm, Regions divided into three areas according to risk (and expected restrictions). The Ministry of Health will decide

To launch the following restrictions, considered indispensable by Prime Minister Conte “due to a worrying overcrowding in hospitals”, the government starts from that document from the Ministry of Health and the Higher Institute of Health, which has sparked much discussion in recent days. An outdated file October 12 ° which provides various risk scenarios in relation to the trend of the epidemic curve and that requires the adoption of increasingly strict measures. Until the dreaded scenario 4 to which several Regions already travel, such as Lombardy me Piedmont. The document has always been the basis of Palazzo Chigi movements, but now it will flow directly into dpcm which most are working on. This was announced by the Prime Minister. Giuseppe Conte during his intervention before the Chamber, explaining that the provision will indicate “three areas with three risk scenarios with increasingly restrictive measures. “The mechanism by which the new regulations will come into force will be semi-automatic:” The inclusion of a Region will be carried out with aorder from the Minister of Health, ”Conte clarified. The first to locate in the area of ​​greatest risk could be Lombardy and Piedmont, together with Calabria.

To define the three areas, it will be necessary to take into account “the index of replicability of the virus, of the sprouts and the employment situation of Beds in hospitals. ” first band will include the High risk regions, that is, those that are already in scenario 4 described in the report “Prevention and response to Covid-19“, Prepared by the ministry, the ISS and the Coordination of Autonomous Regions and Provinces. In second band Regions “at high risk but compatible with scenario three, with slightly less restrictive measures,” Conte added. Instead, the third band will include “all National territory for the remaining regions. “The differences between the three bands in terms of current restrictions remain to be understood: from distance education, during bar hours and restaurants, until the eventual stop in mobility of citizens.

One of the most important parameters to enter the Regions in each box is still the contagion index Rt. According to the latest ISS monitoring, 13 regions already exceed the threshold of 1.5 (considered the most critical by experts). These are Calabria (1.66), Emilia Romagna (1.63), Friuli Venezia Giulia (1.5), Lazio (1.51), Liguria (1.54), Molise (1.86), Province of Bolzano (1.96), Province of Trento (1.5), Puglia (1.65), Umbria (1.67) and Valle d’Aosta (1.89). Lombardy me Piedmont, on the other hand, they have exceeded quota 2. The risk is that, if the rules anti-Covid released by the last Dpcm, calibrated in scenario 3, should not produce a cooling of the curve, a situation of “transmissibility” is reached in a few weeks uncontrolled with critical issues in the maintenance of the health system in the short term. “Hence the need to differentiate the regulations in force in each region. The task of locating them in one of the three risk areas will correspond to the Ministry of Health with an ad hoc ordinance. One way to overcome the last resistance of the governors, reluctant to introduce those Mirati closure that scientists and most have been crying out for days.

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