Never so many infections in Sicily since March: fewer serious cases, but the Palermo outbreak is scary



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What ended yesterday, data in hand, was like a growth of coronavirus cases in Sicily the second worst week since the outbreak started. 666 in seven days, an average of about 90 cases every 24 hours. The only time that the weekly indicators had marked such a sustained growth in the epidemiological curve It was between March 21 and 28, when the new positives there had been 869But the Covid-19 storm was in full swing, and the pandemic had just erupted. After that, the cases had always been on the decline, at least until the beginning of August: from that moment until today, it has always been a real escalation.

That between September 12 and 19 was also the week of the record of infections in a single day, 179 on Friday, and as we have written abundantly at this point, the most serious situation on the island is in Palermo, with four red zones, now the true epicenter of the epidemic in Sicily (also yesterday 48 new positives in the province) and the situation in the different centers of Biagio Conte unfortunately in continuous (and negative) evolution. Not forgetting the schools already closed a Belmonte Mezzagno and San Giuseppe Jato.

From August 9 until now, Palermo clearly had the highest case growth in all of Sicily. If before Catania was “dominated”, now the epicenter of the island is to the west, because even Trapani is constantly monitored by regional authorities.

In five weeks the new infections in the Sicilian capital were 698, while in Catania the count stopped at 475. Previously the cases under Etna doubled, and in certain situations those of Palermo tripled, now the advance for the calculation Total positives from the beginning of the epidemic certainly doesn’t seem that far off

Returning to the situation in Sicily, unlike a few months ago, swabs performed have also increased considerably: Between March 21 and 28, between 500 and 1000 examinations were carried out per day, now it has reached an average of around 5000, with peaks higher than 6000. In this way, the outbreaks can be circumscribed more easily but some point out, the increase in cases does not depend only on this.

The good news is that such a marked increase in positives does not correspond to severe caseshe. Far from there. From 18 in intensive care it has gone to 13, a -5 which bodes well. On the other hand, “ordinary” hospitalizations have increased considerably: from 116 to 191, about 75 more.

According to the Istituto Superiore della Sanità, in almost all regions, however, there is an increase in the occupancy rate of dedicated beds both in the medical area and in intensive care. At the national level, the occupancy rate in the medical area increased from 2% to 4% compared to the period 17-30 August 2020, while the occupancy rate in intensive care went from 1% to 2%, with higher values at 5% for some Regions. “Although signs of overload of the health services have not yet been identified,” he says, “the observed trend could be reflected in a greater commitment.”

In the last two weeks there has also been a “significant increase in the median age at diagnosis. This is probably due to a transmission from the younger population to the more frail or elderly, especially within the family: this is reflected in a greater commitment of hospital services “. Therefore, it is recommended to take “all the appropriate precautions, even in the family”. Even the RT, the contagion index, in Sicily is once again above 1: 1.08, to be precise, after two weeks below the fatal threshold.

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