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The weekly report: Rt index at 1.5. Piedmont and Valle d’Aosta beyond 2. Lower figures in the South, but the health system is worrying
ROME. Half of Italy is blocked. So says the report on the weekly monitoring of the ISS and the Ministry of Health, after mixing the 21 indicators that define the risk profile of a region. And despite the fact that the data refer to the week of October 12 to 18, when there were 11 thousand infections and not 19 thousand as yesterday, the board on which the government must then press the buttons of the closures says that in the fourth stage, the red lock. , there are now 9 regions: Emilia, Liguria, Lombardy, Piedmont, Bolzano, Puglia, Umbria, Valle d’Aosta and Veneto. Although there are others, such as Calabria and Sicily, that take risks despite being in the yellow zone of the second scenario, where at most it may be necessary to close bars and restaurants early.
In fact, the report turns on the red light of “high risk with high probability of progression” for them as well, both because health services would be less capable than elsewhere to withstand the impact of the epidemic wave, and because the transmission of data is not judged complete by report editors. For the nine regions that entered the red area, according to the document on the management of the Covid emergency signed by Iss, Regions and Health, the options on the measures to be taken are not many: either a “generalized blockade” or “localized,” with restriction “. mobility to and from the affected areas. “For schools and universities, the closure and” activation of remote mode when possible “would be activated.
Campania is located together with Lazio, Marche and Tuscany in the orange zone of scenario three, which includes subprovincial red zones and the possibility of suspending the riskiest production activities and face-to-face lessons for high school students. But taken today, that yellow photograph would probably turn red, starting in Campania. It is not just the increase in cases and deaths that is worrying experts and scientists. But also the speed with which beds are filled, both in medical rooms and in intensive care rooms. In much of Italy (Calabria, Emilia, Friuli, Lazio, Liguria, Lombardy, Piedmont, Bolzano, Puglia, Sicily, Tuscany, Umbria and Valle d’Aosta) there is another probability that we will go towards the depletion of that 30% of the beds of intensive care aimed at Covid. And this would mean having to postpone major surgeries, which require intensive postoperative care. However, the situation seems to be out of control throughout Italy, where the infectivity index, the RT, has risen to 1.5: for every two new positives, three people become infected. Even if the growth of the epidemic curve runs the risk of becoming exponential in Piedmont (Rt at 2.14), Bolzano (2.05) and Valle d’Aosta (2.73). “School transmission still appears limited” with 3.5% of all outbreaks detected. But the numbers say that now The virus has bypassed the trench of contact tracing, since for 23 thousand cases it is not possible to trace the origin of the transmission chain. For this, after I knowHe stressed that “the situation shows signs of criticality in local health services”, the report calls for a new hardening: “Necessary measures that favor a drastic physical interactions “,” including restrictions on non-essential activities and mobility “. “Serious situation, stay home”, is the appeal of the Director of Prevention to the Ministry of Health, Gianni Rezza. Who knows if it was launched so that even the Palazzo Chigi half.
