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Regional red zones, closures of some activities, early curfew: these are the hypotheses in which we are working pending weekly progress monitoring of Covid 19 infections to be announced at 4.30pm on Friday. A work that is based on the scenarios developed by the Higher Institute of Health and on the political evaluations of the government. The closure of the most polluted areas can be done with shared governors’ ordinances and endorsed by the head of health Roberto Speranza. For the possible closure of activities, however, a new Dpcm of Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte is necessary. The prime minister wants to wait for the expiration of two weeks from the October 25 Dpcm to evaluate the effects of the measures, but much will depend on the epidemiological curve that could force the government to shorten the time. Without excluding, in case of an increase in infections, the most extreme blocking option.
Rt above 2
The October 24 follow-up recorded the RT (transmission index) in 2 in 3 Regions: Piedmont, Bolzano Val D’Aosta. If such a high figure is also confirmed this week, it is possible that the most contaminated areas will be closed or a true local blockade.
Rt at 1.5
In contrast, the RT at 1.5 was detected in Veneto, Calabria, Tuscany, Lombardy, Lazio, Liguria, Puglia, Umbria, Campania and Molise, but the indicators show that in the last seven days in some regions the situation has worsened and Also in this case, it is working on localized closure measures.
Scenario 4
The eventual confirmation of these Rt indices would take Italy to Scenario 4 and the indications of the technicians in this regard have already been delivered to the government: school closings, travel ban, “red zones” for three weeks.
Movement Between Regions
In this case, there would also be a ban on moving to those Regions where the situation is serious and runs the risk of getting even worse. A measure that would be contained in the possible closing order. The CTS has already expressed its opposition to the prohibition of moving between municipalities in the opinion sent to the government before the last Dpcm.
Stores and shopping centers
In this case, it could also be decided to take measures gradually towards closure and therefore it is possible to opt for the closure of shopping centers and the limitation of the hours for other commercial activities in order to further restrict the possibilities of movement of citizens. Measures to be taken with a Dpcm. Kind of an early curfew.
October 30, 2020 (change October 30, 2020 | 14:35)
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