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At least three regions again in yellow and perhaps none in red. With less than 48 hours of the new weekly monitoring that the experts in the control room will illustrate on Friday afternoon, this is the geography of colors that is taking shape for the beginning of February. In fact, since Sunday, based on monitoring data collected between January 18 and 24 Lazio, Liguria me Veneto they could abandon the orange to reach Campania, Basilicata, Molise, the autonomous province of Trento and Tuscany in the yellow zone. A large group to which many could be added, but at the fore are Emilia-Romagna, Marche and Sardinia, the latter affected by a reassessment of the parameters. With absolute certainty it is too early but, to read the latest data that speak of -4% nationwide in terms of hospital occupancy, everything seems to be going in the direction of a generalized easing of restrictions.
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THE PROMOTIONS
In Lazio, for example, you can confidently look at the 3 main parameters: both the incidence rate of infections per 100,000 inhabitants and daily cases are decreasing, as well as, above all, the rate of intensive care employment and income hospitable. . While awaiting weekly numbers, regional data improved day by day, staying within established thresholds. That is, they do not exceed 30 percent of employment for intensive care, 40 percent for jobs in ordinary rooms and that the Rt index is below one. The latter already stood at 0.94 last week, making experts in the Region optimistic. To the point that despite 14 days of permanence in a scenario of lower risk than the one that led to the displacement of the orange band (the count for Lazio starts from last week) by the technicians of the Region, the step it is now considered a certainty.
A similar discourse refers to Veneto and Liguria, both with data down. The first one in particular, according to what Governor Luca Zaia clarifies “from home calculations” would have an “Rt equal to 0.62”. However, Emilia-Romagna also expects to take a leap, with all data falling except employment in intensive care units, which remains stationary at around 30%, very little above the national average. Different situation for Sardinia and Marche. If for the latter, Governor Francesco Acquaroli has already announced a file asking the government to return the Marches to the yellow zone, for Sardinia the issue is complex. “We immediately said that the calculations for Sardinia are wrong – declared the President of the Region, Christian Solinas – there is no risk regarding the burden of intensive care at this time, because we have enough places. Calculation and numbers must be critically evaluated. In practice, the reproduction rate of an infectious disease R0 on the island would not be reliable. “In Sardinia there are transmission chains in some areas that invalidate the R0 value,” said Deputy Minister of Health, Pier Paolo Sileri, opening the door to a re-evaluation of regional parameters. Furthermore, Friuli Venezia Giulia and Valle d’Aosta are also pressuring the ministry to return to yellow, but the figures in these cases are less obvious.
THE REDS
Trust the other island region too. Sicily, now in the red zone by election of Governor Nello Musumeci, would now have data to allow its reinsertion in yellow. To clarify this is Health Councilor Ruggero Razza (“Hospitalized are 3 percent of current positives. 228 people are in intensive care, 1 percent of total positives”) who also explained how “Isola is below of both parameters “. on the stay in health establishments. An optimism that could affect the only other territory in the red zone, the autonomous province of Bolzano. The situation here, however, is more delicate because in the face of a good response from the health system in recent days, new cases have increased considerably (even + 36% yesterday). Fluctuating numbers which, however, are not necessarily sufficient to keep the area in the red zone.
Last updated: 06:24
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