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VENEZIA. The Calabria, Liguria and Veneto Regions have a punctual RT compatible with a type 2 scenario. This “raises special concern and, therefore, we urge you to consider the application of the planned measures, for the levels of risk attributed, including to the end of this vacation “.
This was stated by the follow-up project Iss-Ministry of Health, the meeting took place on Wednesday night.
This is what the timely RT indicators say from December 21 to 27, updated to 29. Abruzzo: 0.65 Basilicata: 1.09 Calabria: 1.09 Campania: 0.78 ER: 0.98 Fvg: 0.96 Lazio : 0.84 Liguria: 1.07 Lombardy: 1 Brands: 0.99 Molise: 0.89 Piedmont: 0.71 PA Bolzano: 0.76 PA Trento: 0.71 Puglia: 1 Sardinia: 0.78 Sicily: 0 .93 Tuscany: 0.79 Umbria 0.8 Vda: 0.83 Veneto: 1.07.
The figures of the Covid-19 epidemic in Italy are increasing again and all the data confirm a recovery in the circulation of the SarsCov2 virus. It is also time to take stock, such as the one prepared by Istat, which shows that deaths from Covid-19 were 9.5% of the total deaths registered from the end of February to November.
Data from the Ministry of Health indicate that in 24 hours new cases increased by 16,202, detected with 169,045 swabs. The relationship between positive cases and smears also returns to 9.58%, compared to 8.7% the day before. 575 deaths were registered, against 659 the day before, in a trend that “in the last five days is showing a tendency to flatten the epidemic curve, starting from the days around Christmas”, observes the mathematician Giovanni Sebastiani, from ‘ Mauro Picone Institute of Computer Applications of the National Research Council (Cnr-Iac).
“It is a trend, he adds, that reflects what the epidemic had 15 days ago, considering the usual delay that occurs from the appearance of cases to deaths. Among the regions, the largest daily increase continues to be in Veneto, with 2,986 cases. “. , but Lombardy (1,673), Apulia (1,470), Emilia Romagna (1,427), Lazio (1,333), Sicily (1,084) and Piedmont (1,046) exceed a thousand cases. Hospitalizations continue to show reigns of recovery, with 175 new Admissions to intensive care units in 24 hours The same trend is emerging at the regional level, where “the intensive care curve begins to flatten,” says Sebastiani.
In other words, the number of hospitalized patients does not decrease, they have reached a kind of plateau. This is the situation of Marche, Molise, Sardinia Abruzzo, autonomous province of Bolzano, Umbria. The hospitalization curve, on the other hand, is increasing in Friuli and Lazio, it is growing strongly in Veneto, while in Sicily there is a slowdown, with the autonomous province of Trento and Valle d’Aosta slightly downhill.
This trend is also confirmed by data from the National Agency for Regional Health Services (Agenas) which, according to the update relative to December 28, indicate that the places in intensive care units occupied by Covid patients are 30% of the available: they do testify precisely at the defined alert threshold, but do not exceed it, as had happened in the past for many weeks.
Following the balance of the period between the end of February and November, the data prepared by Istat in its report on the incidence of Covid-19 in mortality in Italy indicate that during the first wave of the epidemic, between February and May, this disease represented 13% of the total, while in the second wave the overall contribution of deaths from Covid-19 increased to 16% nationwide.
If we consider contributions by age group, Covid-19 mortality, says the report, “contributed to 4% of overall mortality in the 0-49-year-old class, 8% in the 50-64-year-old class, ‘11% in the 65-79 age group and 8% in those over 80. ”The report also shows that in the February-November period a total of about 84,000 deaths is estimated more than the 2015-2019 average.
The deaths of Covid-19 positive people registered by the integrated surveillance referred to the same period are 57,647 (69% of the total excess). 60% of all deaths from Covid-19 refer to people over 80 years of age: “The class over 80, we read, is the one with the highest percentage of deaths from Covid-19 (60% of total deaths ) “. On the other hand, the data on infections in people over eighty years of age go against the trend. It has gone from 26% of the first wave to 8% of the second wave. “This decrease,” the note explains, “is probably due in large part to the greater diagnostic capacity among younger age groups and in people with less severe symptoms.”
