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The descent seems to have begun. There are 22,930 i contagion recorded in the last 24 hours in 148,945 swabs performed. Yesterday there were 28,337 new cases. If we compare today’s data with that of last Monday (27,354) and the same day two weeks ago (25,271), the slowdown seems even more evident also because there is no “weekend effect” to shuffle the cards. Therefore, the curve has stopped growing and is in fact showing the first signs of a change in direction. Obviously, this is an evolving trend that will need to be confirmed in future newsletters, but it remains an important fact to report.
Monday’s Cases
– this week: 22,930
– Last week: 27,354
– two weeks ago: 25,271
– three weeks ago: 22,253
– four weeks ago: 17,012Change from the average of the last four weeks
– almost: + 0%
– shock absorbers: + 6%– Lorenzo Ruffino (@Ruffino_Lorenzo) November 23, 2020
As well as the increasingly evident slowdown in the balance of entry / exit of intensive care units is a very positive result, which today has only nine more patients than yesterday. This is a number that, as we often repeat, is also influenced by the number of dead and cured, and yet it is impossible not to notice how in recent days there has been a change in trend that could soon bring a respite to hospitals . .
Since last Friday, however, the relationship between proven and positive cases has grown again, albeit slightly, which today stands at 15.3%.
- November 23 15.3%
- November 22 15%
- November 21 14.6%
- November 20 15.6%
- November 19 14.4%
- November 18 14.8%
- November 17 15.4%
- November 16 17.9%
- November 15 17.4%
- November 14 16.3%
- November 13 16%
- November 12 16.2%
- November 11 14.6%
- November 10 16.1%
- November 9, 17.1%
Coronavirus, more than 50 thousand deaths in Italy
But today the death toll is also growing again: in the last 24 hours another 630 people have died from Covid (yesterday there were 562). The total is 50,423 “official” victims caused by the pandemic. An impressive number that, sadly, is set to continue to rise in the coming weeks. However, in terms of the fatality rate, in Italy it is much worse than in other countries. Suffice it to say that last week we had 3.8 victims for each infected center, compared to 1.6% in Germany, 2% in France and 2.8% in Spain.
Why? “It happened that a ‘killer’ virus of this magnitude hit a fragile and elderly population like the Italian one,” he explained to Adnkronos Salute Massimo Clementi, Professor of Microbiology and Virology at the Vita-Salute San Raffaele University in Milan, director of the Microbiology and Virology Laboratory of the Irccs San Raffaele hospital, commenting on today’s newsletter from the Ministry of Health on the Covid epidemic. “The Italian population with an average age is among the highest in the world – he adds – and this means that we are in good health. It is clear that the number of deaths in 9 months is enormous and the reasons will have to be investigated. It is likely that the RSA system, if on the one hand it is functional for the management of elderly patients, on too many occasions during the pandemic it has lent its side to the virus. And this was a serious mistake. “
Battiston: “Peak between November 26-27”
Meanwhile, according to calculations by physicist Roberto Battiston from the University of Trento, Italy is approaching the peak of the epidemic expected between November 26 and 27 with some 830,000 positive cases. According to Battiston, the peak of hospitalizations has already been reached, with a total of more than 38,200 admissions, including those from intensive care units. Instead, the latter may peak in the next three to four days. “This is a concrete indication that the trend is reversing,” the physicist told Ansa, adding that “now we need maximum attention because, although we are managing to recover the situation with respect to the exponential growth that occurred in the first part October, we must not lower our guard since the number of people carrying the infection is very high and without taking precautions the epidemic could start again with terrible effects. ”Battiston explains that the number of positives currently (which is already decreasing today ) could reach 830 thousand in the next few days. This is “a very large number, which will begin to decline from that day on and could be halved by Christmas, but 400,000 infected will continue to be active: a very large number, which indicates how the epidemic is very present in the country. “The physicist then recalled that” the cases are seven times greater than those of last March: we will have to be very attentive to the measures because now the epidemic is much more present in the country than at the time of closure. ”
Clementi: “The priority is to reopen schools. We must find a compromise in restaurants”
Massimo Clementi is also very cautious with the measures to be taken: “Due to its importance, significance and timeliness, the reopening of the ski lifts must be later than that of the schools. Our high school students need face-to-face teaching, they ask for it and we must give them some answers While the reopening of the ski lifts can and should be postponed. “” After school, we could think about reopening restaurants – added Clementi – if restaurateurs understand that at this point we are still at risk and a compromise can be found between limiting people to tables and being able to work, I guess. that we can think of keeping them open until 11 at night even during the Christmas holidays ”.
Today’s Newsletter November 23, 2020
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