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The study at the government table already in February 12 predicted up to 60,000 deaths. The newspaper “The Republic“gained access to the researcher’s work Stefano merler featured in Scientific Technical Committee when there were still no official Covid cases. The accusation against the government of the newspaper is sensational. Warned by the secret file they had, not only did they do nothing. But they gave China 18 tons of protections that were needed in Italy. How many have died from this unfortunate decision?
Two scenarios based on spread rates were envisaged, one with one million infected and the other with 2 million. “Three days after the discussion of these data – says La Repubblica – a load of 18 tons of protection devices left Brindisi for China”. And again: “Healthcare under stress, the hypothesis was that the epidemic peak would have created a shortage of 10,000 places in intensive care.”
The document does not estimate the number of deaths, but according to Merler, the fatality rate registered at that time in China applied to the Italian scenarios yielded a result of between 35 and 60 thousand deaths from Covid-19. And in fact, 35,472 is the number of deaths registered so far in Italy. A shocking study such as the delay with which the government led by Giuseppe Conte faced the epidemic: the first measures actually came only a month later. “What did we do from February 12 to March 9 when the lockdown began to prepare the health system for the probable arrival of the virus?” writes The Republic. “Have we bought masks, tampons, established protocols for the protection of health personnel?”
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