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Also this year we will live the Tour of Italy in the company of Riccardo magrini, well known and beloved Eurosport technical commentator. His ‘Fagianata’ will allow us to analyze the most outstanding themes of each stage, highlighting even the most hidden nuances. A daily appointment not to be missed to enjoy the Corsa Rosa at its best. Today, on the eve of the Monreale-Palermo time trial, we will analyze with Riccardo the prospects of a race that promises to be full of variables.
IS THE PART OF THE GIRO D’ITALIA, POGACAR AND ROGLIC WITHDRAWAL, REALLY LESS THAN THE TOUR?
It is a flower bed that deserves great attention. There are Tour de France winners like Nibali and Thomas, one who has been on podiums like Kruijswijk. And then Fuglsang, Simon Yates… The runners are there. There are 5-6 who will play it. Not as bad as the entry lot. The path will make a difference, it is demanding and delicate. The first part is not easy, on the third day you are immediately on Etna and you can pay. The last week is hard.
THE TOUR ROUTE IS VERY DIFFERENT FROM THE TOUR
This year the route is very different from the Tour, especially because of the 62 km of time trial, twice that of the Tour. The route is well designed, it ‘burns’ immediately. The Matera stage is not to be taken lightly, then we will have a good test in Roccaraso. In the first 9 days there is no great breath. The second week is a bit where you will get the most. Then, in the third week everything is played. It will be a fun Twist. The sprints will be of a high level..
FALLS, COVID, COLD: EVERYTHING COULD HAPPEN …
We have to be a bit optimistic. Covid is in a phase of increasing infections. It will be cold for sure, but we also had a very nice October. I don’t see it so bad. Also in 1984 there was the Stelvio and it was not made because there was a danger of avalanches. The difference is that if it snows now, you can shovel it until the day before, while in May it is not possible. When you go up to 2000 meters the descent is certainly not easy and you will feel the cold..
VINCENZO NIBALI DEL PODIO?
Nibali waited for him for the podium. It is the only certainty we have. When he shows up at races he always seems to ‘cry’ a little bit, but then he did well in the World Championship too. I know it is in good condition. He advances his hands a little because he doesn’t want to be pressured, because he is the only one who can save us. Otherwise, it will be a British and Danish hegemony. I don’t think Kruijswijk came here to make an appearance, although he is a little less convincing because he may be a little behind due to his collarbone injury. However, for Nibali I believe it, the only problem for him is that he will lose a minute of Thomas in the three time trials, this means starting with a handicap..
GERAINT THOMAS FAVORITE NUMBER ONE
For me, Thomas is the number one favorite, then behind him I put Fuglsang and Nibali. I have seen the Dane mature. He got carried away and explained that, after years of subjection to captains Nibali, Aru and then López, he finally became a leader and this mental condition did him good. I see Vlasov very young, but it is the year of the young people and maybe he can even win the Giro, who knows. But I am not convinced because he is too young and it seems to me that in Astana, from the way they run, they will favor Fuglsang. Then there is Majka who can go up to five.
SIMON YATES CAN YOU SEE IT ONE STEP DOWN?
Simon Yates starts a step back, but it may be the spoiler. Two years ago he had dominated the Giro, then he had received that blow at the Colle delle Finestre. Uphill it is difficult to take it off, in time trials it does not stop and it can also take off stages.
POZZOVIVO AND MASNADA: POSSIBLE TOP10?
Pozzovivo could finish in 10, I think Masnada will look for stages and it could even be won. I think Deceuninck will line up with Knox. They are more interested in the stages.
HERRERO POSSIBLE REVELATION?
Blacksmith in the top 10 I see it. He has matured, he goes uphill hard, he knows the roads of Friuli. His problem is the stopwatch, he loses almost a minute tomorrow. It could be the surprise for the rankings, then we have Ballerini and Masnada who will target the stages.
WHAT TO EXPECT FROM ELIA VIVIANI?
In my opinion Viviani will do a good Giro, the Tour lacked rhythm, the confinement hurt some more than others, he was preparing for the Olympics and he was upset. You can count on Consonni, with whom you may have found good feelings on the Tour.
PETER SAGAN, ONE OF THE STARS OF THE TOUR
Sagan could have done well to play the Tour and now he could have another stage. In France he did not win, but was often in the top five. Here you have at least 6 stages that you can win. Gaviria in the traditional sprint is superior, but Sagan could do well in some ‘nice’ finishes like Matera.
WHO WINS TOMORROW ON THE TIMER?
Ganna is the favorite. For me the podium will be Ganna, Dennis and Campenaerts, Thomas finishes fourth.
HOW MUCH CAN NIBALI DE THOMAS LOSE TOMORROW?
Tomorrow Nibali loses about twenty seconds of Thomas. But you can lose more. 20 seconds would be good. We ran in Sicily and this could motivate him.
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