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With the green light of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) and the announcement of the authorization of the European Commission to Pfizer’s Covid vaccineIn Italy and in all EU countries, the first doses are administered to the highest risk categories. December 27 is the date agreed for Vaccine Day, then from January we will begin with the vaccination of the categories of greatest risk (health workers, residents and RSA personnel and the elderly) and then the other categories of populations, as indicated by the Anti-Covid vaccination schedule announced by the Ministry of Health.
The percentage of population coverage will depend on the available doses (Table 1), with the expected arrival in Italy of at least 8 million doses in the first quarter of 2021, taking into account only the Pfizer vaccine. To these will be added the doses of the other incoming vaccines, according to the authorization and dose allocation processes themselves. The EMA plans to issue its opinion on Moderna’s Covid vaccine on January 6 and on AstraZeneca’s on January 12: the long-awaited approval will lead to the availability of 1.3 million additional doses of Moderna’s Product and 16 million respectively. of Astrazeneca vaccine doses in the first quarter of 2021.
Overall, if these other two approval processes are successful, Italy can count on in approximately 26 million doses in the first quarter of 2021, enough to vaccinate some 13 million Italians. That is, by March 2021, the priority categories (around 6.4 million people among health workers, Rsa staff and guests and elderly people over 80 years old) and a first part of the population belonging to the other categories, especially those over 60 and people with comorbidities.
In general, the calendar (Table 1) prepared by the Ministry of Health provides for the estimation of the doses that will be available based on the agreements reached with six companies (Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Moderna, Sanofi, Johnon & Johnson and Curevac) for a total potential of 202,573 million doses. “If the vaccine doses will reach us, as we want, in the times and with the intervals that we know – said the extraordinary commissioner Domenico Arcuri – we hope to be able to vaccinate all Italians who wish it by September”.
According to chronology vaccination of the Ministry, the third and last quarter of 2021, in fact will be destined to the vaccination of the population that in the previous months has not yet had access to the vaccine, which indicates the completion of mass vaccination between autumn and winter 2021/2022 also in consideration of the delay reported by Sanofi-GSK in delivery times after the development and production of the vaccine.
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