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Looking at the charts at the data on coronavirus infections and deaths from COVID-19 recorded in the last three months in the main European countries in the charts, an upward trend can be seen practically everywhere. Two countries in particular, however, have worrying situations: France and Spain, where we are talking about a “second wave” and new restrictive measures have been introduced for it, after the relaxation of the summer.
In all other countries, infections are significantly lower both in absolute terms and in relation to population, as well as the number of deaths. In fact, for some time now, epidemiologists have warned that we are in a new phase of the epidemic, that for various reasons -we try more, the virus circulates in different contexts, we have improved treatments- the current situation is very different from that of Last spring. . However, this is true now: predicting what will happen in the fall and how much worse the situation will be is very difficult, if not impossible.
It is evident, however, that the curve of new infections discovered in Italy also began to grow in the second half of August, although it did not maintain the initial rates, decreasing somewhat. In relation to the number of inhabitants, Italy is the country that every day discovers more new cases after Spain, France, United Kingdom and Belgium. In its latest weekly report, however, the Istituto Superiore di Sanità says that new cases with symptoms have also started to grow again: for a long time, however, they had been stable. The average age of the newly infected is still much lower than last spring, 32 years (which means that half of the people are under 32, half older).
Data on deaths are the most complex to interpret: comparing them with the population, Spain confirms that it is the country with the worst situation, while France, despite having a not much lower number of infections, is in notably better shape. The general upward trends in the new infections graph are less evident, if not absent, in the death curves by country compared to population: many factors play a role, including the youngest age of those infected, the situation much quieter in the country. hospitals, improving care.
Trends in individual countries can also be viewed on the basis of the overall weekly figures, which reveal the progression of the epidemic over the past two months. Above all, we see that in France and Spain it took about a month for the new discovered cases to multiply by ten. For the moment, however, the other major European countries are following different, much more stable trends.
In terms of evidence, in comparison with the population, Denmark is by far the country that makes the most swabs among the main European countries: now around 5 per day per thousand inhabitants, compared to for example 1.5 in Italy however, one of the lowest figures, albeit on the rise.
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