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the referendum on cutting parliamentarians It is almost upon us and if the House of Yes and the Senate win, they would suffer a cut of 345 units. But how would the representation change? What would the new numbers of the Chambers?
This is precisely what we ask ourselves about, since the issue is beloved by many voters, who try to better understand how they will be represented.
The cuts will affect both cameras with a total decrease of 345 seats, 115 senators and 230 deputies, and above all the number of representatives of each region will change.
The maps that you find below show what the current numbers are, respectively in the House and Senate, and especially what will be the new number of representatives if Yes prevails over No.
Constitutional referendum 2020: how representation changes
To clarify what will be the new numbers of the Italian Parliament and Senate is the file “Reduction in the number of parliamentarians” published on August 19, 2020 by the Senate of the Republic and the Chamber of Deputies.
The numbers show how the cut in parliamentarians will lead some regions to have a greater reduction in local representatives than other regions.
In the scissors in the Senate the most affected regions will be:
- Basilicata: with a reduction of seats of 57.1%;
- Umbria: also for this region the reduction will be 57.1% of places;
- Friuli Venezia Giulia: which will see its seats decrease by 42.9%;
- Calabria: with a 40.0% reduction in places;
On average, they will lose 36.6% of the seats as regards the Senate, with the regions indicated above being the most affected.
In the Chamber of Deputies, on the other hand, the cut will be more linear with the regions that will see an average cut of 36.5% of their representatives. On the other hand, Friuli Venezia-Giulia will see its seats fall a little more, with a cut of 38.5%, while Umbria will be among the least affected and will see its seats fall by 33.3%.
Seat changes will be made only in the event of a Yes victory, while if a No is won, no changes of any kind will be made. In the event that Yes exceeds the preferences of No, however, one will also have to be thought about new electoral law which would obviously lead to a revision of the numbers that we have indicated in the previous maps.
To date, the most credible hypothesis is that of Brescellum, a fully proportional proposal with a threshold of 5%. However, the first vote on this new electoral law will only take place on September 28 and within the majority itself there is much resistance to approving it.
The parliamentary process of the Brescellum is still quite long and, above all, it could undergo changes with the passage to the Chamber. Until there is a new electoral law, the seats assigned to each region, in case of winning a Yes, would be those indicated above.
