How Covid has changed public opinion. “Health dictatorship? The bureaucracy is scarier. Different priorities: the winner is the one who transmits confidence”

“I say it with a number: confidence in Minister Speranza is 49 percent and has risen 3 points, something never seen in Italy. IS fear”. Roberto Weber he edited a Ixé Survey according to which Italians today have reached a fear level close to that of emergency shutdown. A figure destined to impact the dynamics and balances of politics in the coming months and perhaps years. In practice, 85 percent of Italians live in fear, a figure that had fallen to 63% in June, to around 65% in July, “to find 85% we must go back to May“. Speranza’s figure is confirmed at the government level, in the sense that confidence in the government’s management of the health emergency is rising again:” In June the approval was 65%, in July 68%, now 74%“. Therefore, the government approved with great success. Not because citizens think that the executive always moves perfectly,” but precisely because fear is strong and because Italians are increasingly sensitive to what happens outside , in Europe: when they discover that we did better of the others the legitimation mechanism becomes powerful. “

The benefits are for the government and the parties that comprise it, not for the others. “This is the first time I have seen such a man pitch deviation with dominant thought and popular moods for him center right, never like this before. “The reference is to the competition that has opened since Salvini is no longer the golden boy of the coalition. Paradoxically, it is his ace up his sleeve that takes his consent from under his feet: fear. “Our brain Steal emergencies which are not really such, like that of safety that today is a propaganda weapon to say the least blunt. Concerns about migrants they have regressed, they have lost 25 points. Getting up are the keys that guarantee safety me protection“. Nor does the issue take hold of the democratic emergency, agitated for the last time by the president of Senate of Casellati. “The issue is not heard, if something is felt the clumsiness of systems and the bureaucratic structures called upon to manage the emergency. Italians gladly accept them limitations because fear is comfortable with everything else. I give you another fact that impressed me: since 1997 we ask the same question to Italians, if they want more money in your pocket or more services. People who said more money, essentially because of the tax wedge fixed tax there – had reached 50 percent. Today is fell to 20 percent, that is, the idea of ​​touching the tools of protection and wellness, for how little or how much they give, they like it less and less while people today want more state”.

Image is confirmed by Antonio Noto, another pollster who scrutinizes the country’s mood and political dynamics. “I am in the middle of a pandemic change priorities of Italians, but while the credibility of the political class continues to decline, those who govern at the national and local level rise in the polls and in the approval of the people, as we have seen with the regionals. It’s a bit like the Italians preferred it the status quo, almost regardless of political colors. In our surveys health and work they were always in first place, now there is a sidereal detachment in front of safety Yimmigration“For those who have turned it into a personal and historical workhorse, it is not easy. “Replacement”. “You can see it in the maneuvers on the right, where the Meloni is happy to find consensus because it is a political synthesis, and in the era of great fear he is more functional while Salvini is a leader of distinctions. The dinner organized by the “totiani” with Carfagna and others can be read not like compactness test but as an attempt to stem Salvini, who certainly receives support but is not a synthetic leader ”. And what happens to the left? “The decline of the M5s feeds the left parties. At first it referred to a right-wing electorate who went back to the right and voted for the European elections League, now ai Five stars they continued to be the hard core of the non-politicized and of the left who were definitely disappointed; but a part of the voters went home. They are communicating vessels. If you lose the M5, you indirectly win the P.S. Not stop different positioning political party of the Democratic Party that does not differ from the one of a year ago, but because it is part of the alliance that forms the government.

The fear as dominant of the political framework. “It was seen with the Regionals, where four salients have been confirmed beyond the grid,” he underlines Maurizio pessi of Swg. Italians seek stability. “Covid seems to have closed a cycle that began ten years ago of change at all costs, interpreted by the Five Stars, by Renzi what if Salvini. Today the question is more refined: Italians ask for changes but only against guarantees“. The society of fear narrows its horizons.” Before Covid, Italians questioned themselves in different needs ranging from corruption to breed, dai migrants me to democracy. Today these issues have descended to the hierarchy of priorities and everything depends on the ability to transmit confidence ”. Conte, Gypsies but also Everybody me Zaia they work. Salvini breaks the mold. “There Meloni On the other hand, he tries to climb a right center that can only have a guarantee with respect to the opposing team, which isUnit. This is why he soon left the panni lepenisti and is trying to compact the right to order who has always been present in Italy and has concentrated part of the votes in Salvini, being disappointed. In any case, in the future of Italy that lives in fear, who best calms it down wins. It is no coincidence that in national polls the parties of most they are climbing and ‘weigh’ almost like the center-right ”.

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