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CORONAVIRUSES: Here are the DATES with ZERO infections, but for some REGIONS, SLIDE ALL at the end of JUNE, here are the
Final dates of epidemics published by the National Health Observatory LNational Health Observatory in the Italian regions, coordinated by Walter Ricciardi, carried out an analysis with the aim of predicting the date when wait for the elimination of new infections based on the Civil Protection data of February 24 to April 17. According to experts, the end of the Covid-19 emergency in Italy could have different moments in the regions depending on the territories more or less exposed to the epidemic.
The projections take into account the blocking measures introduced by the Government, therefore, any relief measure With the reopening of activities and the movement of people, the projections would no longer be plausible.
From the mathematical study it appears that the first regions to arrive ZERO COUNTERS It could be Basilicata and Umbria on April 21, with the rest of the South that could start to see the light between the end of April and the beginning of May. Lazio will probably have to wait at least on May 12, as well as most of central Italy, with many dates in mid-May and, in any case, in late May. The situation in the rest of the north and in the marches is more complicated: Veneto and Piedmont will leave on May 21; Emilia Romagna, Tuscany, Bolzano only in late May and even in late June in Lombardy and Marche.
in the table of the National Observatory of Health in the Italian Regions details in detail region by region the minimum date of absence of new cases of contagion: Piedmont May 21, Valle d’Aosta May 13, Lombardy June 28, Bolzano May 26, Trento May 16, Veneto May 21, Friuli Venezia Giulia May 19, Liguria May 14, Emilia Romagna May 29, Tuscany May 30, Umbria April 21, March 27 June, Lazio May 12, Abruzzo May 7, Molise April 26, Campania May 9, Puglia May 7, Basilicata April 21, Calabria May 1, Sicily April 30, Sardinia April 29
ATTENTION: The epidemic is slowing down very slowly!
The projections made show that the epidemic is slowing down very slowly, therefore, these data suggest that the transition to the so-called “phase 2” should take place gradually and at different times from one region to another. An excessive anticipation of the end of the closure, in all probability, could push back the pandemic hands and frustrate the efforts and sacrifices made so far.
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