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The Germany result fragile. And if during the first wave had been the country that best managed the coronavirus, the German strategy does not appear to have worked this fall. I say the numbers: a 40 days away from the introduction of the lock light, the nationwide restrictions that should have contained infections, Germany today marks both the new peak positive almost daily 30 thousand (29,875), both the record dead: 598. Chancellor’s Appeals Angela Merkel, which has made public its fears of an uncontrolled growth of infections since the beginning of October, has not been heard for a long time. Maybe also for this Wednesday in front of Bundestag made one intense speech, called “the most emotional” of his long political career, almost begging members of the government and presidents of the countries to immediately find an agreement for a rigid closure a Christmas. Two days later, faced with the evidence of the data, the German Interior Minister Horst seehofer clearly asks for the introduction of a “hard confinementThat clicks right away, without even waiting for the holidays. Meanwhile, after the restrictions introduced in Bavaria, other Länder are changing course: the Baden-Wuerttemberg, the Stuttgart region, will enter emergency shutdown right after christmas and at least until January 10.
The Prime Minister of Earth, Winfried KretschmannHowever, he clarified that the decision was made pending a federal agreement on anti-Covid measures. The government and the Länder will meet on Sunday to decide on the new restrictions. The mayor of Berlin, Michael Mueller, revealed to Zdf that the hypothesis on the table is a emergency shutdown Lasted since December 20th and until January 10. However, the government thinks of an immediate closure: “Theonly possibility regain control of the situation is a lockdown, which must take place immediately“He said Seehofer a Mirror. “If we wait until Christmas,” he added, “we will have to fight him high numbers for months“. The minister of the CSU (the Bavarian Christian Socialists) agrees with the opinion expressed by Markus Söder, the Prime Minister of Bavaria, where the state of magnet imposing measures again more strict. But now other Länder also demand a pure blockade. After Baden-Wuerttemberg, too Schleswig-Holstein has tightened its restrictions by providing the possibility of meeting between five people from two different families.
The hard lock – The government thinks in three weeks total closure of stores, as it was in the spring also in Italy, therefore, with the sole exception of food and basic necessities. In addition, the idea is to lengthen the school holidays, anticipating the stoppage in lessons on December 16 and postponing the return to school again on January 10. The other pillar of new strategy There should be uniform rules in all Länder for the reduction of contacts– Meetings limited to family members only and travel ban. These are in practice the recommendations that came from the scientists of the Leopoldina Academy, cited by Chancellor Merkel in her last speech. With the difference, however, that until two days ago we were talking about limitations post-christmasNow the pressure is on for a real lockdown now, before it’s too late.
What went wrong – Merkel’s first clear and clear appeal probably dates back to October 9, if not earlier: “Restrictions where infections are highest or virus will out of control“Said the chancellor. Two needs: local measures and defense of tracking. They both failed. Already on October 17 ilfattoquotidiano.it said the German contact tracing model, the flagship of Germany’s strategy in the fight against the coronavirus, was in trouble. The Minister of Health himself admitted it, Jens spahn: “Local authorities can no longer track as they should.” The government and the Länder in April had set themselves the goal of having a team of 5 people every 20 thousand inhabitants just for the tracking: a quota never reached. So Health authorities, the more than 400 local health authorities that had been the anti-Covid barrier in the spring, raised the white flag one after another in the fall. Already in October the first warnings arrive from the capital Berlin and other places: it reached thetraffic jam“.
If in the spring tracking had allowed Germany better contain contagion despite having the same restrictions of the other European countries (and in some cases even milder), during the second wave, with the contact tracing omitted, they would have served tough measures. When Merkel announced the shutdown light on November 2, she also admitted that the country could no longer track the 75% of infections. To do this, he found an agreement with the Länder to restrictions a Nacional level. However, the anti-contact measures and the closure of the restaurants were not enough. After a slowdown in the growth of daily cases, from the beginning of December new infections began to rise day after day. The death toll has come unknown levels for Germany and that Merkel called “a unacceptable price“. The incidence is 156.3 almost per 100,000 inhabitants in 7 days (the government’s goal is 50), the contagion rate Rt in the last week it has risen again threshold of 1. Faced with this trend, we need “a emergency break“, As the southern german newspaper on your site.
The hard lock does not serve to flatten the curve of the case. the German hospital risk for the first time to reach collapse. The interactive map of the Berliner Morgenpost reports that there are currently 4,432 patients with Covid hospitalized in intensive care (in Italy there are 3,291). Another 18,000 seats are occupied by normal patients and still exist another 4,645 free places. The same newspaper reports that there would also be a reserve of 11,478 rooms activatable. However, there is the problem of doctor shortage me nurses prepare for resuscitation, based on what you recently said Zdf, the second public network. Also, always the map of the Berliner morgenpost complaint that 276 clinics Germans reported having intensive care fully occupiedwhile another 567 say they have the first signs of a bottleneck. Even this explains the voice of Angela Merkel in the Bundestag and the “immediately” pronounced by Minister Seehofer to reach to hard lockdown.
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