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Data pressure at record levels, with 31,758 infections and 297 deaths, one hundred more in a single day. The pressure of the squares that continue to update the story of social unrest and ignite with protest and violence. First Turin, then Florence, today Rome, with the Campo de ‘Fiori in turmoil. The pressures that push Giuseppe Conte, now also affected by a drop in consensus in the country, is accelerating. A new Dpcm is expected on Monday, with a new twist. Half of Europe is on the blockade route, after France, Germany and Belgium, Austria, Greece and Portugal also align themselves with the French-style restrictions, as well as the United Kingdom on the other side of the Channel.
This time, however, the prime minister rediscovers the value of sharing and tries to involve the opposition. Now that by Monday we have to make the great leap into darkness, with drastic hypotheses under study: from the red zones in large cities with the closure of bars, restaurants and shops to the stop of mobility between the Regions, to the school with attendance only up to the second. media – Conte offers Lega, Fratelli d’Italia and Forza Italia a seat at the Sunday consultation table to develop the new Dpcm. He also calls Silvio Berlusconi, who remains cold. And at night the concept is harshly expressed in a joint statement with Matteo Salvini and Giorgia Meloni: “Late renovation, we are not available for palatial operations.”
It is lunchtime when the Prime Minister begins a summit with the majority heads of delegation from Palazzo Chigi. Thus opens a day more dominated by the great question of what to do in the face of a pandemic that has already erased the meaning of the last Dpcm for days and that requires a rebalancing of health reasons with those of GDP. The information coming from Interior Minister Luciana Lamorgese, readmitted in a centrality not yet told, alarmed Conte. All the signals coming from the cities and, in general, from the countryside say that the protest shows no signs of abating. When the meeting begins, there is already a lot of meat on the fire. It starts from the report of the Higher Institute of Health and the Ministry of Health with 11 Regions at risk of “uncontrolled transmission” of the virus. In a video link is the Minister for Regional Affairs Francesco Boccia. There is also the emergency commissioner Domenico Arcuri and – an element that attests to the urgency of evaluating a new squeeze in the country – some representatives of the technical-scientific committee. The coordinator of the CTS Agostino Miozzo, but also the president of the ISS Silvio Brusaferro and the president of the Higher Health Council Franco Locatelli put on the table the urgency of new measures. The curve runs at an incessant pace, with infections accelerating again in the last 24 hours, which impresses the death toll (297), never so many since May. The threshold, even psychological, of 300 victims is practically reached.
The discussion begins with one of the hottest data: the Rt transmissibility index is at 1.70, but it is already above the alarm threshold of 2 in Lombardy and Milan. Already on Friday, experts had suggested in the reports to analyze “a rapid analysis of risks, including at the subregional level, and consider a timely increase in mitigation measures.” The time has already expired, we must immediately think about reacting. The path towards the confinement is marked, but before that, immediately, we must intervene. The experts press, Conte and the majority heads of delegation begin to debate. The hypothesis of a national lockout – this is the reasoning of many of those present at the meeting – can wait a few more days for the result of the effectiveness of the last and new ones to arrive. For this reason, the decision is moved to next weekend. Unless the virus keeps increasing. First, however, it is necessary to intervene at least irregularly because in some areas of the country the situation is already at alert levels and the risk is of a domino effect that is no longer recoverable. Milan, Naples, Turin, Rome but also other territories must be closed immediately. And so the discussion about the red zones, about selective closures, comes into force. But also about the need to stop mobility between regions.
There is discussion until three in the afternoon, then the prime minister is left alone with the heads of the majority delegation. The image of how to intervene takes shape. Immediately afterwards, the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, entrusted the CTS with the task of updating the list of areas at risk and of informing as soon as possible about the places where it is necessary to intervene. At six in the afternoon, the Committee meets urgently to begin work. Meanwhile, the premier outlines the roadmap to the next DCPM: Sunday morning, at 9, meeting with the Regions. In the afternoon I meet with the heads of delegation of the majority and the ministers most involved. On the other hand, in a later meeting, the leaders of the majority group are also seated at the table. Finally, on Monday, in Parliament and at night, the new Dpcm, the fourth in just three weeks.
The possibility of establishing red zones until interregional mobility stops marks a change of pace in the government’s strategy, which in October went ahead with a barrage of Dpcm, however, all calibrated in closures and restrictions. Never a selective intervention in the territory, net of some local and sporadic blockade decided by the Regions. Now social unrest and even more ruthless numbers force us to accelerate nervously. Other numbers, such as the proportion of swabs positives at 14.7%, never that high in the second wave: one infected every seven tests. Those of Lombardy, about nine thousand infections in the last 24 hours and with the deaths they went from 48 to 73. Those of Campania, with more than 3,600 new positives, and the situation in Naples even more serious. And then Lazio, where even Rome becomes vigilant and between cities to close.
With all this burden on his shoulders, as we said, Conte tries to turn the opposition away from his own and restore centrality in Parliament. Yesterday he called on the presidents of the Chamber and Senate, Roberto Fico and Elisabetta Casellati, to “look for a place, an instrument to confront Parliament.” Today it was the turn of direct contact with the opposition. But at night a joint note from Matteo Salvini, Giorgia Meloni and Silvio Berlusconi leaves no room for the prime minister: “Repentance – say the three leaders – seems late.” And, furthermore, the accusation of an attempt, that of the prime minister, aimed more than collaboration at dragging the opposition “to serious responsibility.” The place of the confrontation is the Parliament, they explain, they do not want to get on a ship that now has an iceberg in front of it. And the prime minister is increasingly lonely and in trouble.
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