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ROME – There are crises that are less equal than others. Juventus is there Juventus and its moments no, its negative passages make more noiseEspecially if they happen after nine championships and if you find an outsider as a favorite. For now, however, he has not lost anything, on the contrary: he won the Italian Super Cup, he is in the final of the Italian Cup, he has a chance to advance in the Champions League and (by arithmetic) to win the Scudetto. This, however, goes backwards. On the eve of a fundamental match, against an unpredictable Spezia, Madama is less than 10 behind Inter, in fourth place in the rankings. We can say this: she no longer owns her destiny.
Juve, the numbers are ruthless
Only twice, in the Third Millennium, has Juventus had a worse ranking at the moment: in 2009-2010 (seventh) and 2010-2011 (eighth). In addition, the comparisons with the technicians of the last two championships, prematurely accompanied to the goal, they are ruthless: both Allegri and Sarri were first, Max with 66 points, twenty more, while the reviled poet of “sarrismo” had 57. Since Conte’s first year (2011-12) not so little has been collected: at that time there were 45 points with one game less but also many fewer opponents. In fact, the trend that appeared in 2019-20 was accentuated, the rise of the contenders. Until the eighth consecutive Scudetto, at this point, Madama only had one challenger, when there was one. Now there are at least six, with the paradoxical consequence, that the Supelega coveted by Andrea Agnelli wants to avoid, not only to find herself groping for a (prohibitive) resource to Inter, but also to watch their backs to keep her place in the Liga de Champions.
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The causes of this negative classification are multiple. Above all, the discomfort caused by the pandemic. Teams that have changed coaches are among the most penalized. And among the top seven, Inter apart from all divided by a handful of points, Juventus is the only one with a new leadership. All the leading teams faced the new season without a net or filter, but the others already had a plant. On-the-fly corrections are easier if there is a foundation. The Juventus club had emerged from the “unspoken sarrismo” with the conviction that charisma was enough to achieve a quick and successful transition. However, this, the first real season “all Covid”, between positivity, injuries and bad luck, was precisely the most refractory to the news. The relationship with Sarri was closed and his inevitable replacement and restart, in this confusion, would have been problematic for anyone. In Continassa they had taken this into account, we believe, but they found themselves dealing with many variables that were neither considered nor contemplated. without anticipating such a negative impact. Among these is also the law of large numbers. Nine championships in a row represent an insurmountable record, but with the passage of time destined to stop.
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