Ethiopia at war, Eritrea also bombed: the reasons for the crisis in Tigray and the risks of a possible escalation



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Rockets inEritrea: Saturday night the war that for days has inflamed the northern region of Ethiopia Tigray it has crossed national borders, with a very dangerous escalation that threatens to inflame the entire Horn of Africa. Leader Debretsion Gebremichael confirmed toAfp the launch of missiles on the capital Romance: “Ethiopian forces are also using Asmara airport,” he said. According to local media and diplomatic sources contacted by the BBC, “Several rockets” fell into the outskirts from the city. Second Reuters, which cites “five regional diplomats”, “at least three rockets have been launched on the Eritrean capital from Ethiopia”: of them, “at least two hit the Asmara airport”. According to other sources, the Ministry of Information was also affected. The Eritrean government denies it.

It is not easy to reconstruct the facts, as the Tigray region lacks Internet me telephone lines since it is deflagrates the crisis. For its part, Eritrea is one of the regimes more oppressive to the world and information always comes out with a dropper. In any case, the crisis has already passed the national borders, rekindling the flame of the conflict with Eritrea that the Ethiopian Prime Minister himself Abiy ahmed He had achieved to turn off, two years ago, obtaining for this even the Nobel Peace Prize.

Abiy himself has rekindled hostilities and decided to respond to the continuing provocations tigrine: As the world watched the American elections, the November 4th I send it troops to the Tigray. Tigris are the minority (6% Gods 110 million of inhabitants, in the second country in Africa by population) than for almost thirty years he ruled Ethiopia with an iron fist and who had to renounce power after large street demonstrations in 2015 demanded a Regime change. Abiy Ahmed, of the majority oromo, until then oppressed, became prime minister under the best auspices: he reestablished multipartism and freedom of the press, released hundreds from political opponentsHe even made peace with Eritrea, ending a very long conflict. An enlightened leader. At least it seemed so.

The Tigrinya minority (whose best-known face is the key man of the pandemic, the leader of the WHO Tedros Gebreyesus, former minister of the previous government) he had not digested these changes. And when the regional elections planned for August They have been postponed “cause covid”, Tigray announced that he would keep them anyway. And so it was, in September. A challenge, a affront that the central government could not tolerate. There increasing tension recorded several serious incidents of armed robberies me murders between Tigray and the neighboring region ofAmhara, which culminated in the attack on government military bases by Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), the party representing the Tigrinya minority. In response, on November 4, Abiy announced the launch of a vast military operation which bombed “military targets” in Tigray.

Three days later, regional parliament came out of the illegal vote loose and Abiy nominated a new regional president. In the midst of the crisis, the prime minister also removed the army chief of staff, appointed a new chief of the federal police and replaced the Minister of Foreign Relations. In response, the TPLF threatened to attack the neighboring Amhara region and also Eritrea. Getting to the facts immediately. Eritrea, which Ethiopia had fought led by Tigrin an endless war, is now accused by the TPLF of to maintain Abiy Ahmed.

Amnesty complaint massacres of civilians in Tigray and there is also talk of “list”Requests from the federal police with the list of Tigrinis local offices employed by United Nations. The crisis is likely go ethnic and extend further, with 17 thousand refugees from Tigrinya already sheltered in Sudan. Interested in the evolution of the crisis is also theEgypt, which has long been at odds with Ethiopia because of the Great say of the Renaissance, built on the Blue nile and that when fully operational it threatens to eliminate much of the flow of water from the River essential for life in Sudan and Egypt. A possible amplification of the conflict could also have consequences on the neighbor Somalia. In short, a very dangerous crest.

The United Nations and the African Union have been multiplying for days appeals to one de-escalation, which for now seem completely ignored. Meanwhile, You are Italian (including five Calzedonia employees and one external technician) are locked out Makallé, the capital of Tigray. They would be safe, waiting to be evacuated. The Italian company, which has a factory right next to the airport, it has production suspended.



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